Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Khachanov vs Quinn
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0e93f93104198eb1e0a30d189d4e087f4b89279ef5559e55023fe1c9d727254
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Khachanovof Khachanov, Quinn
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Quinn | 34c | 9,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.98 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Khachanov | 66c | 2,471$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.14 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Khachanov | 66c | 2,091$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.67 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Khachanov | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.98 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Khachanov | 66c | 909.09$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.09 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Khachanov | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Khachanov | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 372 | 57.5%214 W · 158 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Quinn | 35c | 357$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Khachanov | 74c | 332.69$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.1 | 234 | 51.7%121 W · 113 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Khachanov | 66c | 330$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 248 | 56.9%141 W · 107 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Khachanov | 66c | 289.67$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.49 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Khachanov | 66c | 225$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Quinn | 35c | 214.92$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.22 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Quinn | 29c | 164.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Khachanov | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 432 | 50.5%218 W · 214 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Khachanov | 80c | 115$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Khachanov | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Khachanov | 66c | 75.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Quinn | 20c | 74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Khachanov | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Quinn | 30c | 64.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 270 | 48.9%132 W · 138 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Khachanov | 74c | 51.94$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Khachanov | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Khachanov | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Khachanov | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Khachanov | 66c | 23.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Khachanov | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Khachanov | 74c | 15.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…0df2backed Khachanov | 66c | 15.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +6.0wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Khachanov vs Quinnthis page
- Halle Open: Karen Khachanov vs Ethan QuinnEthan Quinn won
- Khachanov vs. Quinn: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Khachanov vs. Quinn: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Khachanov vs. Quinn: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Set Handicap: Khachanov (-1.5) vs Quinn (+1.5)Quinn won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.