MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x393bb312b6a92e046825403e888928d946cb6f39836782204d00b2ddcb2c5437
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Pittsburgh Pirates, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $931,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $842,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $931,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89dd…f662backed Athletics | 45c | 294,000$131,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131,127.86 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 180,000$100,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,200 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 170,023$95,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,947.56 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x408f…b2f4backed Athletics | 45c | 110,248$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…a230backed Athletics | 46c | 100,000$46,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,000 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Athletics | 1c | 76,099$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.99 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…4312backed Athletics | 0c | 55,063$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.04 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 48,800$26,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,960.18 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 35,482$19,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,090.68 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 19,237$12,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900.07 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…a4e7backed Athletics | 0c | 16,916$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 15,696$8,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,220.15 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 13,729$7,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,245.12 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 13,222$7,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,088.55 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Athletics | 0c | 13,042$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e6ddbacked Athletics | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Athletics | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.98 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 8,249$4,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,624.26 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Athletics | 5c | 7,749$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.15 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Athletics | 46c | 7,322$3,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,368.29 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994b…c047backed Athletics | 23c | 6,300$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Athletics | 4c | 5,329$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.37 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.99 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 4,719$2,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,128.18 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 4,448$2,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.56 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Athletics | 3c | 3,834$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.03 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Athletics | 23c | 3,263$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.3 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Athletics | 46c | 2,753$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.43 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Athletics | 23c | 2,609$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 2,494$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.74 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Athletics | 46c | 2,030$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.88 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Athletics | 2c | 2,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Athletics | 2c | 1,479$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Athletics | 47c | 1,415$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.51 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Athletics | 2c | 1,413$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Athletics | 50c | 1,158$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.25 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…d9f7backed Athletics | 1c | 1,125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Athletics | 18c | 1,104$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.69 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -30%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 1,097$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.15 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Athletics | 45c | 1,093$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.05 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 71c | 1,065$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.91 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Athletics | 45c | 1,015$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.52 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d4acbacked Athletics | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Athletics | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 989$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.83 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Athletics | 17c | 947.1$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.89 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Athletics | 19c | 933.61$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.29 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Athletics | 6c | 907$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.42 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…f67dbacked Athletics | 7c | 809.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Athletics | 3c | 800$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Athletics | 18c | 795.89$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.7 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Athletics | 46c | 717.39$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Athletics | 16c | 689.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.11 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…650bbacked Athletics | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Athletics | 16c | 616.07$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Athletics | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed Athletics | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 253 | 51.8%131 W · 122 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Athletics | 20c | 593.94$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.87 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 558.05$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.7 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Athletics | 46c | 555$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.9 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Athletics | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Athletics | 18c | 526$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.68 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed Athletics | 18c | 500.2$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.01 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 500.02$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Athletics | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 483.32$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.99 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Athletics | 44c | 481.65$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.93 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Athletics | 45c | 466.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.14 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Athletics | 9c | 456.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Athletics | 23c | 450$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Athletics | 45c | 432.98$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.84 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 421.77$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.57 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6862…8c75backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 407.41$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.41 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 380$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.8 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 379.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.54 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 376.27$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.08 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02e0…3741backed Athletics | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 353$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.85 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Athletics | 15c | 346.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 79c | 327.49$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.92 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Athletics | 46c | 327$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.42 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Athletics | 46c | 310$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Athletics | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Athletics | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 292.02$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.09 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 285.71$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.71 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 23c | 280.21$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.27 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Athletics | 46c | 280$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.6 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Athletics | 6c | 266.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Athletics | 46c | 265.78$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.11 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Athletics | 27c | 259.96$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.38 | 142 | 61.3%87 W · 55 L | +18.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 257.22$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.22 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athleticsthis page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-4.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. AthleticsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.