TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: SAW Youngsters vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Play-In

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
SAW Youngstersof SAW Youngsters, Misa Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,398
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,706

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,398 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16bc…decabacked Misa Esports28c6,476$1,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,834.5719229.2%56 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed SAW Youngsters71c3,858$2,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.012,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x472b…5d5fbacked Misa Esports27c3,624$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.392748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed SAW Youngsters46c3,065$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,653.725845.7%118 W · 140 L-18.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed SAW Youngsters68c2,984$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.951,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Misa Esports40c2,417$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.797,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked SAW Youngsters79c1,400$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.392,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc57…2b3cbacked Misa Esports58c1,383$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80014659.6%87 W · 59 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x664e…e82abacked SAW Youngsters78c1,279$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed SAW Youngsters45c1,260$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69328455.6%158 W · 126 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Misa Esports17c1,255$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.641,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked SAW Youngsters70c1,093$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.1222241.4%92 W · 130 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a9…e35abacked Misa Esports30c1,008$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3061931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed SAW Youngsters67c999.95$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.22,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…e184backed Misa Esports62c973.87$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75d…0717backed Misa Esports59c907.85$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.1229543.1%127 W · 168 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed SAW Youngsters61c849.35$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.282,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed Misa Esports25c829.01$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.2519057.9%110 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6297…1e59backed SAW Youngsters47c759.99$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.795558.2%32 W · 23 L+6.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed SAW Youngsters71c750$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.540542%170 W · 235 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed SAW Youngsters75c693.51$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.134,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Misa Esports18c678.8$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.757322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked Misa Esports53c661.79$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.8427940.5%113 W · 166 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Misa Esports45c659.76$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.434,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7c2…63d8backed SAW Youngsters78c642.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.91560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked SAW Youngsters69c593.14$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.843,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd929…824abacked SAW Youngsters77c586.84$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.11540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-40.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc28f…6193backed Misa Esports55c577.91$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810956.9%62 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Misa Esports23c559.34$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.692,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Misa Esports25c558.92$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.12,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed SAW Youngsters47c546.84$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.285851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bb6…5154backed Misa Esports37c541.35$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009856.1%55 W · 43 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Misa Esports55c530.59$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.838047.5%38 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Misa Esports43c505.31$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.811,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafc5…2b1dbacked Misa Esports24c501.04$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.418333.7%28 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcece…ffeebacked Misa Esports23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11511844.1%52 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Misa Esports53c471.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Misa Esports42c466.02$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.5689046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ace…c46ebacked Misa Esports21c453.65$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1950%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked SAW Youngsters46c421.87$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.7214742.2%62 W · 85 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Misa Esports18c418.52$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.412,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5416…9d9cbacked Misa Esports27c415.06$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.03616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Misa Esports31c414.98$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.1180942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Misa Esports56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22458343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3783…171dbacked Misa Esports23c399.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9224562%152 W · 93 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed Misa Esports55c392.23$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.438052.6%200 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Misa Esports26c378.03$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7366436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Misa Esports25c353.87$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.251915.8%3 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-74.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Misa Esports33c351.82$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.55,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked SAW Youngsters79c343.69$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.151,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed Misa Esports56c334.82$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.2329246.9%137 W · 155 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed SAW Youngsters74c333.63$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.762,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed Misa Esports53c329.74$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.7624840.7%101 W · 147 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Misa Esports35c314.15$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.423,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75c7…fcccbacked SAW Youngsters42c310.21$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.9820444.1%90 W · 114 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Misa Esports34c303.01$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1031,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Misa Esports29c294.04$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.26,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed Misa Esports10c287.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305050%25 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Misa Esports24c284.25$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2236649.5%181 W · 185 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6840…6003backed Misa Esports25c281.3$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.718361.4%51 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed Misa Esports26c277.96$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9172139.7%286 W · 435 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef1d…3080backed Misa Esports58c267.51$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.8313258.3%77 W · 55 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fd…9164backed SAW Youngsters77c266.96$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.797052.9%37 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked SAW Youngsters69c247.24$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.91,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f44…e1f9backed Misa Esports15c233.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Misa Esports54c228.66$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.648948.9%239 W · 250 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f49…2285backed Misa Esports53c228.51$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.114852.1%25 W · 23 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked SAW Youngsters49c220$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7566446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed SAW Youngsters41c219.87$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.051,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed Misa Esports52c218.82$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7914051.4%72 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec97…4d68backed SAW Youngsters70c207.15$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.33955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-19.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8c8b…7a07backed SAW Youngsters66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6821159.7%126 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked SAW Youngsters69c193.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.314,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b17…d36dbacked Misa Esports53c191.06$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.265731.6%18 W · 39 L-8.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-36.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xde30…3159backed Misa Esports54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024260.3%146 W · 96 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed SAW Youngsters45c181.99$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.0939245.9%180 W · 212 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked SAW Youngsters66c178.57$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1915060.7%91 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked Misa Esports57c174.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019147.1%90 W · 101 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x009c…049bbacked Misa Esports58c173.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010444.2%46 W · 58 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Misa Esports22c171.67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.342,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked SAW Youngsters73c169.82$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.691,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Misa Esports56c164.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4348851.8%253 W · 235 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed Misa Esports23c157.55$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9339440.4%159 W · 235 L+30.0wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed SAW Youngsters80c153.6$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.391,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x1661…4b37backed Misa Esports55c149.29$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.117349.3%36 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Misa Esports55c149.18$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0533657.1%192 W · 144 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Misa Esports20c144$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.015,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed SAW Youngsters42c142.93$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9227248.9%133 W · 139 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0010…c3a8backed SAW Youngsters70c140.73$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2231673.7%233 W · 83 L+23.6wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+10.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x525e…3976backed SAW Youngsters44c131.88$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.851070%7 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+68.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Misa Esports24c131.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6537922.2%84 W · 295 L-43.1wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-47.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed SAW Youngsters58c129.58$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8442154.6%230 W · 191 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x034a…9ddcbacked Misa Esports24c129.13$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.410647.2%50 W · 56 L-13.4wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6b73…02c0backed SAW Youngsters75c128.97$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.524072.5%29 W · 11 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed SAW Youngsters61c125.67$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.121,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf0b…7cccbacked SAW Youngsters58c124.33$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.545450.2%228 W · 226 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bf1…294fbacked Misa Esports55c123.72$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0513642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Misa Esports35c118.19$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.880740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec8c…3bcdbacked SAW Youngsters45c111$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0535131.1%109 W · 242 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a80…df6dbacked SAW Youngsters56c107.61$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6110867.6%73 W · 35 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.