MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb53f3010c9962c0652a065b6626f8c80da1e6225dfaa9838eeef3747df59f095
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Seattle Mariners, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $413,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $429,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $413,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 123,263$51,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,123.21 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe54…41d6backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 67,894$39,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,539.76 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 55,555$27,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,777.5 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Seattle Mariners | 64c | 54,688$35,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,000 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 31,565$13,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,605.15 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 5c | 26,500$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.06 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 24,585$12,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,104.7 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 24,293$11,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,903.8 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,199.99 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 14,946$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,169.15 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 14,331$6,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,839.83 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 6,944$4,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,444.44 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 5,556$3,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,555.56 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Seattle Mariners | 69c | 5,263$3,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,629.61 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners | 12c | 5,034$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.37 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Seattle Mariners | 7c | 4,762$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.57 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 4,360$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176.44 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Seattle Mariners | 1c | 4,313$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Seattle Mariners | 64c | 4,167$2,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.67 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Seattle Mariners | 64c | 3,246$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.34 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 3,086$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.66 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 2,441$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.68 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 2,257$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.48 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Seattle Mariners | 65c | 2,017$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.12 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Seattle Mariners | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners | 22c | 1,780$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.5 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.17 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 1,585$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.73 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 1,562$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.43 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 1,469$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.8 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,437$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.65 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 1,400$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 1,150$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.04 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 1,104$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.01 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 69c | 1,082$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.22 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Seattle Mariners | 34c | 1,012$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.99 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 972.86$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.72 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Seattle Mariners | 7c | 788.2$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 749.86$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.41 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 744.99$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.59 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 654.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.89 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 627$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.23 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 595.68$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.98 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Seattle Mariners | 28c | 556.84$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.43 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 511.92$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.16 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 500.2$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.1 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 480.12$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.65 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 480$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.92 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 470.58$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.58 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 460$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.55 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 430$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.4 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 420$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 412.15$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.96 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Seattle Mariners | 6c | 392.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 319 | 63%201 W · 118 L | +27.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 374.98$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 363.41$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.44 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 362.08$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.82 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 350$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 329$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.14 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 325$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 319.98$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.79 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…c909backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 314.66$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 311$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.13 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 303.12$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.53 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 299.96$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.98 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 285$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.65 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 71c | 280$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 275$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.38 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…a490backed Seattle Mariners | 9c | 272.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 271.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.19 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 270.83$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Seattle Mariners | 65c | 250$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1405…9882backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 247.06$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.06 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 233.4$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.37 | 172 | 53.5%92 W · 80 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…ce3ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 231.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e3…04ffbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 219.23$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.23 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 218.24$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.94 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Mariners | 63c | 203.29$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.01 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 201.92$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.92 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 200$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a70…4865backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…3369backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 197.71$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 196.39$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.81 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 196.15$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.15 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 182.76$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…4555backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 181$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.88 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 175.61$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.39 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 174.93$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 173.08$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 171.75$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.59 | 391 | 51.9%203 W · 188 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 171.74$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.44 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Piratesthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh PiratesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.