MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe679ceffb8016721fbb3cdaf5cf7ac2f2a3cff1d3c8fd52abaaca3fef2a7e8c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $297,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $297,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 55c | 220,958$121,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,549.97 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 45c | 96,124$43,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,479.9 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 61,307$27,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,581.55 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Under | 45c | 17,164$7,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,766.54 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 45c | 16,668$7,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,583.9 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 54c | 13,248$7,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,101.27 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Under | 45c | 12,617$5,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,677.65 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 54c | 12,238$6,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,629.38 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 44c | 9,543$4,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,193.28 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 23c | 8,906$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.41 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 45c | 7,688$3,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,460.78 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 46c | 6,194$2,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.24 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 45c | 6,155$2,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,769.66 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 55c | 5,031$2,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,272.3 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 2,329$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.13 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 45c | 1,961$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.45 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Under | 45c | 1,880$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 36c | 1,376$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.59 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 45c | 1,105$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.59 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 45c | 999.99$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.4 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 48c | 945$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.5 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 54c | 890.24$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.51 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 46c | 882.09$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.18 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 45c | 840$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 51c | 758.33$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.31 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…a1d3backed Under | 46c | 755.3$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.44 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 46c | 750$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.83 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Under | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 45c | 571.33$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.1 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Under | 50c | 550$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked Over | 63c | 505.53$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.62 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 54c | 490$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.4 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 50c | 365.03$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.85 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Under | 45c | 280.82$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.58 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Under | 41c | 243.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 44c | 243.5$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.48 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 66c | 241$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.07 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 47c | 235.51$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.51 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 32c | 214.1$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Under | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 247 | 42.9%106 W · 141 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 55c | 160$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 33c | 157$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…ffcabacked Under | 46c | 153.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 146.8$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.06 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked Under | 46c | 143.48$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb96…ea06backed Under | 46c | 141.85$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 61c | 140.09$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.23 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 49c | 137$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 50c | 130.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 45c | 112.35$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 45c | 111.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 45c | 111.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Over | 55c | 109.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.54 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…fe26backed Under | 23c | 106.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe3…a9f7backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 50c | 103.02$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 47c | 102.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 33c | 98.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Under | 45c | 98.07$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 59c | 93.92$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…7ef8backed Under | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Under | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 47c | 79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Under | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x117b…f017backed Under | 48c | 66.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Under | 47c | 65.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b07…5f54backed Under | 48c | 62.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a66…a5d7backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…e0dbbacked Under | 45c | 56.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x982c…0d6ebacked Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 35c | 53.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Under | 53c | 47.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…6659backed Under | 46c | 43.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…0f4cbacked Under | 46c | 43.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…0b3bbacked Over | 71c | 42.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 46c | 42.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Under | 46c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…eeb9backed Over | 56c | 30.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Over | 65c | 28.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…cb46backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 47c | 27.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd3…1e24backed Under | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -6.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…2deebacked Over | 60c | 24.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 179 | 52%93 W · 86 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5this page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh PiratesPittsburgh Pirates won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh PiratesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.