MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1624aae66ef1ad781d288473c3af5ebe7029fef268d049555d629a756073c5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Miami Marlins, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $430,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $468,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $430,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 382 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 122,299$78,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,027.6 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 31,755$11,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,431.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 30,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 35c | 28,481$10,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,030.14 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 23,077$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,076.92 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins | 35c | 14,241$5,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,042.65 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Miami Marlins | 35c | 12,903$4,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,515.92 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 12,600$9,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.97 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 11,463$7,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,012.08 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…100fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 10,937$7,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,686.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 36c | 9,378$3,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,329.27 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…9e9fbacked Miami Marlins | 11c | 9,091$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 8,358$2,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,992.04 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins | 26c | 8,130$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.19 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 8,000$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,839.99 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 7,692$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,692.31 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 6,793$4,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,513.24 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 6,571$4,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.76 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 5,572$3,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.24 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Miami Marlins | 36c | 5,556$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.16 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins | 22c | 5,555$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.02 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 4,993$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 4,498$2,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.44 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 4,167$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Miami Marlins | 27c | 3,303$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.81 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.92 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Miami Marlins | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.98 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Miami Marlins | 34c | 2,965$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.61 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Miami Marlins | 18c | 2,840$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.67 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 26c | 2,521$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.44 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Miami Marlins | 35c | 2,500$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 2,482$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.62 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -30%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23f4…c234backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 2,432$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…15d0backed Miami Marlins | 1c | 2,186$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Miami Marlins | 34c | 2,118$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.33 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Miami Marlins | 35c | 1,982$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.7 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 1,958$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Miami Marlins | 27c | 1,876$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.18 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Miami Marlins | 1c | 1,865$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Miami Marlins | 19c | 1,782$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.12 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Miami Marlins | 3c | 1,689$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.35 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 1,650$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.5 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 1,590$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.07 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Miami Marlins | 35c | 1,508$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.94 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…1846backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 1,499$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Miami Marlins | 17c | 1,470$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.16 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Miami Marlins | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…e9dcbacked Miami Marlins | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 1,314$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.94 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab00…f0c8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 78c | 1,221$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.64 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 1,192$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.26 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Miami Marlins | 23c | 1,043$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.59 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e89…89cebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 73c | 1,026$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Miami Marlins | 10c | 1,017$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.09 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba91…e999backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 1,009$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.22 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…38e5backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 1,007$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.34 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Miami Marlins | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6101…23bcbacked Miami Marlins | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Miami Marlins | 12c | 999.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 999.89$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.96 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Miami Marlins | 24c | 983.82$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.12 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Miami Marlins | 14c | 965.07$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.21 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Miami Marlins | 36c | 830.56$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Miami Marlins | 36c | 829.36$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.57 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Miami Marlins | 16c | 800$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.71 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Miami Marlins | 36c | 800$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…a993backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 800$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 791.71$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.91 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Miami Marlins | 37c | 776.89$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.45 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 751.02$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.86 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Miami Marlins | 3c | 750$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec1f…dcfebacked Miami Marlins | 35c | 720$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 694.03$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.37 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f6…2056backed Miami Marlins | 35c | 669$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 41cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 648$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Miami Marlins | 35c | 630$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.6 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Miami Marlins | 35c | 630$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.6 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadda…9e4fbacked Miami Marlins | 3c | 588.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 567.58$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.06 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d7cdbacked Miami Marlins | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 516.89$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.44 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x101a…8922backed Miami Marlins | 35c | 512$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Miami Marlins | 30c | 502.5$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.75 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5197…053cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 501.78$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Miami Marlins | 36c | 500.31$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Miami Marlins | 35c | 499.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…f18ebacked Miami Marlins | 35c | 483$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Miami Marlins | 35c | 479.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.6 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 15c | 475.54$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.03 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 460$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 454.44$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc24d…907dbacked Miami Marlins | 36c | 438$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 437.03$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.41 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa94c…3cd9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 420$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 419.59$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.25 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 414.54$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 4.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-4.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.