MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f9f677495967a01f8ffc7888364ac0a924545407504cb2faef49ff99e1cea6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 54c | 15,758$8,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,509.13 | 552 | 53.1%293 W · 259 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Under | 59c | 15,000$8,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,149.99 | 490 | 51%250 W · 240 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 57c | 12,385$7,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,324 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.99 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 46c | 9,016$4,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,868.46 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 48c | 9,000$4,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,279.96 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 46c | 7,523$3,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,062.48 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 41c | 6,470$2,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,652.85 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 70c | 5,597$3,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.31 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 4,712$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.28 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 46c | 3,978$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157.84 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Over | 53c | 3,075$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.53 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 52c | 2,200$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 57c | 2,047$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.05 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 1,930$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.85 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 46c | 1,371$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.24 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 53c | 1,207$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.37 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 47c | 1,148$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.35 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 48c | 1,140$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.8 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Over | 36c | 1,031$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.6 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 52c | 969.94$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.12 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 46c | 761$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.94 | 274 | 49.3%135 W · 139 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 46c | 760.87$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.87 | 878 | 50.5%443 W · 435 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 558$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.16 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 49c | 502.3$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.74 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 63c | 472.3$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.75 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Over | 55c | 439.2$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.56 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 47c | 420$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.6 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Over | 53c | 388.2$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.75 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 53c | 357.9$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.51 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 38c | 314.34$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.63 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…93a5backed Under | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 74c | 283$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.58 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 51c | 250$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 47c | 247.38$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.21 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 22c | 246$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Over | 41c | 243.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 47c | 215$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.95 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed Over | 53c | 208.8$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 47c | 200.5$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.47 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 48c | 197.92$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.92 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 55c | 177.31$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Under | 60c | 164.78$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.91 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 29c | 159.86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 38c | 158.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.11 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 55c | 155$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.25 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 56c | 145.7$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.71 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 135.5$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.17 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 60c | 132.47$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.66 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 61c | 131.16$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 49c | 129.88$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Over | 59c | 124.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.03 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 58c | 124.82$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…7c8fbacked Over | 41c | 122.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 50c | 120.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.65 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 54c | 109.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Under | 74c | 108.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 56c | 96.15$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 41c | 93.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…cb64backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 63c | 90.74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 67c | 88.55$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 278 | 46.8%130 W · 148 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 44c | 72.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 55c | 69.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc169…cb6abacked Over | 46c | 69.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed Under | 44c | 68.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 443 | 45.6%202 W · 241 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 46c | 65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 455 | 45.7%208 W · 247 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 48c | 64.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 676 | 53.1%359 W · 317 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 49c | 63.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 765 | 58%444 W · 321 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 67c | 62.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…5737backed Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…9d38backed Over | 54c | 60.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 55c | 57.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 48c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 55c | 54.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Under | 48c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 63c | 51.44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Over | 55c | 50.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Over | 55c | 47.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 253 | 56.9%144 W · 109 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…3503backed Under | 55c | 47.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Under | 63c | 46.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Under | 48c | 45.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 44.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Over | 55c | 44.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 267 | 53.9%144 W · 123 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 59c | 42.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Over | 45c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…32f2backed Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661a…ddc7backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0110…af5dbacked Under | 76c | 38.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a66…a5d7backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Under | 54c | 37.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 162 | 58%94 W · 68 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5this page
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 4.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-4.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.