MLB · resolved market
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b422451df6b6808dc6fa839149b981e4ffbf18cab87519b20df9591d8aa437b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $947,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,362,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $947,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 401,250$197,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203,262.67 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 200,000$101,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,999.98 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 85,394$43,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,264.34 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,599.95 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 25,574$14,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,718.61 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 21,068$10,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,025.9 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.99 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 16,040$8,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,020.07 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 15,099$7,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,851.5 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,650 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 14,362$7,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,412.25 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 13,069$6,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,637.42 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 12,495$5,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,153.96 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 11,697$6,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,199.41 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…e6e0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 8,165$3,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,245.9 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 8,083$3,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,274.7 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 7,500$3,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,975 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 6,782$3,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,487.11 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.98 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 5,570$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,808.29 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 5,173$2,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,652.87 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 3,966$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.57 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 3,411$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.68 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 3,226$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.16 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 2,616$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.41 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 2,574$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.15 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…e9dcbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 1,860$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23f4…c234backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 1,698$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 1,669$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.79 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 1,667$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.84 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 1,652$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.35 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9300…d0f0backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 1,549$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 1,216$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.34 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 1,069$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.88 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b61…35c0backed Miami Marlins | 28c | 1,045$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 980$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 900$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 876.96$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.49 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 840$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 777.78$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb45…0cadbacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 707.55$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 603.53$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 555.5$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.08 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a70…4865backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 487.15$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 480.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.45 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 477.9$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.87 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 474.22$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.85 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eaf…a3a1backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 470.59$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 420$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda9e…7b03backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 408$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.08 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…b524backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 350$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8b…6a9fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 343.75$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.75 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…815bbacked Miami Marlins | 25c | 305.77$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a6…7442backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 290.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 285.71$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.71 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…691bbacked Miami Marlins | 28c | 259.49$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 251.89$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 222.29$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.59 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 209.72$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.61 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…d412backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…f08abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 208$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…fe26backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 200.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.76 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…5ba6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.99 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…8ef1backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 198.63$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Miami Marlins | 27c | 195.88$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 194.19$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf029…b1c7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 184.53$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.78 | 107 | 54.2%58 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 184.04$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 459 | 52.9%243 W · 216 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…f60abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 180$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…fd79backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 166.17$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.17 | 185 | 56.2%104 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd11a…09eebacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 160.75$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Miami Marlins | 35c | 160.03$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 158$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.64 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 152.68$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.03 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…e828backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)this page
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 4.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-4.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.