TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
San Francisco Giantsof San Francisco Giants, Atlanta Braves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$958,933
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$980,727

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $958,933 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 303 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b21…a230backed Atlanta Braves58c120,000$69,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,599.824148.8%20 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Atlanta Braves20c100,050$20,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,009.585645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked San Francisco Giants71c59,875$42,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,113.721,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed San Francisco Giants43c47,530$20,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,955.393,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a23…4454backed Atlanta Braves41c40,738$16,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,658.662245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Atlanta Braves56c30,362$17,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,002.5341149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Atlanta Braves32c30,088$9,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,716.5444851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Atlanta Braves56c22,700$12,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,711.9915451.9%80 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37d3…709abacked Atlanta Braves10c20,000$1,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,972.578220.7%17 W · 65 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Francisco Giants60c18,053$10,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,291.922,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Atlanta Braves57c17,315$9,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,90043554%235 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed San Francisco Giants60c16,983$10,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,876.936,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Braves18c16,475$3,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,022.7710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Atlanta Braves57c13,888$7,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,916.2238148.6%185 W · 196 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Atlanta Braves57c13,720$7,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,814.871,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed San Francisco Giants44c11,364$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,363.647243.1%31 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves57c11,093$6,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,326.114,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Atlanta Braves21c10,901$2,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,244.92,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Atlanta Braves57c10,526$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0008447.6%40 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed San Francisco Giants43c10,000$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,699.9536246.1%167 W · 195 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked San Francisco Giants43c9,843$4,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,610.665743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Atlanta Braves28c9,406$2,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,616.5195045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed San Francisco Giants47c8,335$3,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,392.731,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed San Francisco Giants43c8,000$3,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,56024651.6%127 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants57c7,878$4,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,386.768,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked San Francisco Giants44c7,840$3,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,411.841,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed San Francisco Giants44c6,000$2,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,389.962,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants78c5,924$4,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.528,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves24c4,916$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.4612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed San Francisco Giants43c4,754$2,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,709.724,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Atlanta Braves57c4,728$2,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,69523255.6%129 W · 103 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Atlanta Braves11c3,881$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.0252228%146 W · 376 L-57.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants43c3,617$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,051.276,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed San Francisco Giants43c3,008$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.6477951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed San Francisco Giants54c2,878$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.5671750.1%359 W · 358 L-1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked San Francisco Giants72c2,360$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.882636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed San Francisco Giants42c2,359$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.9373949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked San Francisco Giants44c1,820$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.21,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed San Francisco Giants44c1,744$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.662,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Atlanta Braves10c1,701$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.0640629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Atlanta Braves52c1,662$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.5646239.6%183 W · 279 L-17.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdef0…664ebacked San Francisco Giants79c1,634$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.19580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa02…2905backed Atlanta Braves50c1,299$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed San Francisco Giants42c1,188$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.2797050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked San Francisco Giants43c1,150$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.5836048.6%175 W · 185 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed San Francisco Giants72c1,117$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.7677752.1%405 W · 372 L+36.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Atlanta Braves13c1,111$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.4370735.1%248 W · 459 L-31.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b92…93afbacked Atlanta Braves1c1,092$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9242041.9%176 W · 244 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Atlanta Braves16c1,052$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.091,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed San Francisco Giants43c1,026$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.821,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Atlanta Braves55c1,018$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.91,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked San Francisco Giants44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56085952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Atlanta Braves16c1,000$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.961,14731.6%362 W · 785 L-97.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6871…e9dcbacked Atlanta Braves57c964.91$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5506139.3%24 W · 37 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-25.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed San Francisco Giants45c939.65$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.9169447.6%330 W · 364 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Atlanta Braves23c861.63$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.211,12144.1%494 W · 627 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Braves44c859$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.364,47748.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L-47.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed San Francisco Giants78c855.52$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.84,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Francisco Giants75c846.28$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.198,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked San Francisco Giants44c842.25$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.022,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Atlanta Braves55c827.54$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.151,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked San Francisco Giants43c814$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.981,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Atlanta Braves12c770.05$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.394,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Atlanta Braves18c750$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13594034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9905…add3backed Atlanta Braves55c727.27$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010351.5%53 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed San Francisco Giants57c722.98$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.371,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed San Francisco Giants42c712.89$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.971,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Atlanta Braves57c700$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39968053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed San Francisco Giants45c699.03$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.713,45651.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L+107.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe14a…62bebacked Atlanta Braves19c665$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.4615145.7%69 W · 82 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed San Francisco Giants42c662.38$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.1822350.7%113 W · 110 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7c…51fdbacked San Francisco Giants45c637$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.352133.3%7 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Atlanta Braves4c622.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8826618.4%49 W · 217 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed San Francisco Giants43c587.86$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.0861450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed San Francisco Giants43c583.31$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.4920647.1%97 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed San Francisco Giants44c569.99$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.751,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb60…137abacked Atlanta Braves56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009435.1%33 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Atlanta Braves36c528.89$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.811,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480e…90c7backed Atlanta Braves57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018860.1%113 W · 75 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Atlanta Braves58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022153.4%118 W · 103 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Atlanta Braves58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29060350.1%302 W · 301 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed San Francisco Giants43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28512939.5%51 W · 78 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc1be…d4acbacked San Francisco Giants42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2908446.4%39 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2849…3d49backed San Francisco Giants72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14026857.8%155 W · 113 L+26.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked San Francisco Giants43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28575248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98d0…f14abacked Atlanta Braves56c484.17$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.1419951.8%103 W · 96 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked San Francisco Giants42c466$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.281,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed San Francisco Giants43c464.87$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.994560%27 W · 18 L+6.2wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+32.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed San Francisco Giants72c432.84$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.251,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5331…3672backed Atlanta Braves56c417$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.5217540.6%71 W · 104 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves58c414.29$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.299,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed San Francisco Giants42c403.45$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23411642.2%49 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x235e…5673backed Atlanta Braves58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2326160.7%37 W · 24 L+8.4wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+26.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x87c7…d1b6backed Atlanta Braves57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22820455.4%113 W · 91 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked San Francisco Giants44c399.97$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.983,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked San Francisco Giants66c388$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.525,12654.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L+231.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Atlanta Braves26c368.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.335,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Atlanta Braves57c360$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.248354.7%264 W · 219 L+20.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed San Francisco Giants46c358.36$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.456,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Atlanta Braves14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506432.8%21 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.