TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
San Francisco Giantsof San Francisco Giants, Atlanta Braves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,933
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,832

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,933 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xebe6…9278backed Atlanta Braves66c5,934$3,888 inLost-$3,888.22,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants36c4,884$1,738 inWon+$3,146.0712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed San Francisco Giants34c2,525$869 inWon+$1,656.244,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed San Francisco Giants36c1,793$641 inWon+$1,152.234,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed San Francisco Giants36c1,542$555 inWon+$986.871,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Atlanta Braves64c1,496$963 inLost-$963.346,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed San Francisco Giants33c1,428$471 inWon+$956.761,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Atlanta Braves64c1,406$900 inLost-$90019246.9%90 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Atlanta Braves11c1,400$154 inLost-$15425249.2%124 W · 128 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac65…cfe6backed Atlanta Braves65c969.23$630 inLost-$63013759.1%81 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Atlanta Braves64c858.56$549 inLost-$549.4820848.1%100 W · 108 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Atlanta Braves65c799.31$518 inLost-$518.3247350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves65c461.58$301 inLost-$300.7211,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Atlanta Braves64c420$269 inLost-$268.82,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a50…e934backed Atlanta Braves69c216.13$150 inLost-$1506768.7%46 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Francisco Giants34c194.04$66 inWon+$128.078,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x695c…35dfbacked San Francisco Giants35c117.14$41 inWon+$76.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+61.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Atlanta Braves65c115.38$75 inLost-$756857.4%39 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed San Francisco Giants36c102.19$36 inWon+$65.8227345.4%124 W · 149 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Atlanta Braves64c100$64 inLost-$6499447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants57c90.98$51 inWon+$39.5710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked San Francisco Giants34c79.99$27 inWon+$52.792,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked San Francisco Giants53c78$41 inWon+$36.665,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Atlanta Braves66c71.65$47 inLost-$47.2994648.9%463 W · 483 L+4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Atlanta Braves31c65.63$20 inLost-$20.286,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed San Francisco Giants37c59.44$22 inWon+$37.71,08356.3%610 W · 473 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Atlanta Braves65c57$37 inLost-$37.0525850.4%130 W · 128 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed San Francisco Giants79c55.81$44 inWon+$11.764,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Atlanta Braves64c50$32 inLost-$3217953.1%95 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked San Francisco Giants34c50$17 inWon+$331,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed San Francisco Giants73c50$36 inWon+$13.52,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed San Francisco Giants36c45$16 inWon+$28.93268.8%22 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Atlanta Braves65c44$29 inLost-$28.562,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Atlanta Braves65c22.22$14 inLost-$14.461450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.