TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,662
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,601

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,662 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72d8…5213backed Under54c65,100$35,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,153.536662.1%41 W · 25 L+9.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over46c21,789$9,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,803.7310,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over46c16,577$7,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,952.312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over38c12,189$4,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,583.58,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over46c6,364$2,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,452.7411,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Under56c6,252$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50039047.4%185 W · 205 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over45c3,581$1,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,969.493,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Over45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65077951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under55c1,598$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.9286653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over54c1,172$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.174,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over46c1,128$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.714,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over46c1,111$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.941,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Over46c999.99$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.1921653.2%115 W · 101 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under55c947.02$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.734,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under54c824.1$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.0168053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over45c793.05$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.154,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over45c754.16$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.828,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cde…96e2backed Over46c509.77$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.284854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c8e…a316backed Over46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27022638.5%87 W · 139 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over46c403.77$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.043,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under54c355.58$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.096,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over34c353$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.91,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Over46c336.71$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.8247350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Over50c318.24$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.343560%261 W · 174 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under55c315.72$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.651,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Over45c311.39$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.9127652.9%146 W · 130 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over51c284.27$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.2914724.5%36 W · 111 L-0.3wins0.00per pick25cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over44c276.47$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.822,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc85…aa54backed Over35c274.17$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.1824243%104 W · 138 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over51c269.53$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.6469447.6%330 W · 364 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over46c265.27$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.141,04249.4%515 W · 527 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over49c264.67$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.263,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf629…38d5backed Under55c216$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.492343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over47c215$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.951,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over47c212$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3692054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over47c201.19$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.386,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Over52c181.04$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6153644.6%239 W · 297 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over47c160$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.872648.1%349 W · 377 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over52c117.9$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.945,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe14a…62bebacked Over45c117.01$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1115145.7%69 W · 82 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Under56c115$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.444949.2%221 W · 228 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over45c110.01$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.82,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over43c102.77$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.581,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Over46c102.54$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3757747.7%275 W · 302 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5699447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over44c93.73$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4958054.5%316 W · 264 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under64c90.8$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.113,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b81…b68bbacked Over46c89.85$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.527040%28 W · 42 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Over46c89.13$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1347549.7%236 W · 239 L+17.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over46c82.61$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6154651.3%280 W · 266 L+29.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x17be…e5b4backed Over46c67.61$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5144651.6%230 W · 216 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa05a…4635backed Over56c62.96$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0183053%440 W · 390 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over38c62.35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.792,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under64c62.25$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.841,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Over46c60.87$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8727646.7%129 W · 147 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.41,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Over44c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3635849.4%177 W · 181 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over46c59.62$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9692046%423 W · 497 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Over47c58.3$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0542047.9%201 W · 219 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x500b…b1a1backed Under55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309639.6%38 W · 58 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x000a…6cf7backed Over45c50.73$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8725260.7%153 W · 99 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Over46c50.4$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2217842.7%76 W · 102 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x74dd…f3c5backed Under70c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511254.5%61 W · 51 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Over46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2735248%169 W · 183 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe997…f92ebacked Under56c43.85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.569153.8%49 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d2a…7682backed Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.486955.1%38 W · 31 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb68c…7ef8backed Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.483056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Over46c43.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4744345.6%202 W · 241 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Under54c41.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2531258%181 W · 131 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Over35c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8716057.5%92 W · 68 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.446557.2%266 W · 199 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under54c38.2$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.632,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24a1…32f2backed Over46c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4420745.9%95 W · 112 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…1d65backed Under55c35.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.768544.7%38 W · 47 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Over46c35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.97343.8%32 W · 41 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over47c35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.729355.9%52 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac24…576ebacked Over46c33.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8722948%110 W · 119 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over51c31.54$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5546952.5%246 W · 223 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa25a…04b7backed Under55c30.07$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5414546.2%67 W · 78 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Under64c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.223140.3%93 W · 138 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7268…78abbacked Over46c29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6620040%80 W · 120 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed Over47c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7834639.6%137 W · 209 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8263…e0f1backed Over40c25.93$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5134754.8%190 W · 157 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09a6…252abacked Over46c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.59359.1%55 W · 38 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x46b1…428cbacked Over54c23.52$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8219163.4%121 W · 70 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x15a7…5ed1backed Over43c23.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3924263.6%154 W · 88 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0606…b2afbacked Under56c23.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.122835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Over46c22.73$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2713252.3%69 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3238…6471backed Under54c22.72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2710252%53 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9176…d962backed Over46c21.74$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.745653.6%30 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over69c20.76$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.442,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a32…0188backed Under55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a85…e543backed Under55c19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4414643.8%64 W · 82 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52fd…f525backed Under79c15.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.13560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.