MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2035c3af0693199369ec0f6e0645eac5427ab47af443a9da2eb826536343ee8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 45c | 11,039$4,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,967.02 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 44c | 6,845$2,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,858.39 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 57c | 5,169$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940.47 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 53c | 3,880$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.88 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 56c | 3,369$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.56 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 52c | 2,094$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.18 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 43c | 2,058$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.34 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 56c | 1,777$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.61 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 1,385$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.92 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 55c | 1,338$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.97 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 55c | 1,160$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.83 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.63 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 56c | 900$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 52c | 700.98$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.35 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 681.13$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.98 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 55c | 630.88$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.31 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 52c | 555.47$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.14 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 56c | 474.36$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.09 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 52c | 363.46$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Over | 46c | 323.93$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.24 | 276 | 52.9%146 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…ffcabacked Under | 44c | 315.05$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.62 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 55c | 309.57$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.07 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 46c | 279.12$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.41 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 52c | 254$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.08 | 292 | 42.5%124 W · 168 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 54c | 218$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.93 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Over | 55c | 213.28$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.98 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5de…33b5backed Over | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 45c | 201.4$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 56c | 200$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 45c | 171$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.95 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…38d5backed Under | 44c | 170$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe14a…62bebacked Over | 50c | 157$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.05 | 151 | 45.7%69 W · 82 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 59c | 142.56$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.88 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Over | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 66c | 118$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 52c | 111.28$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.39 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 45c | 109$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Over | 43c | 99.88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.93 | 242 | 43%104 W · 138 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 56c | 95.25$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 43c | 92.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…2413backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 37c | 89.19$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b07…5f54backed Under | 44c | 71.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0d…10c1backed Over | 51c | 67.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Over | 59c | 65.12$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Over | 51c | 60.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 49c | 58.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 57c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Under | 58c | 50.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…7682backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Over | 32c | 41.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…6659backed Under | 44c | 40.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…9166backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 443 | 45.6%202 W · 241 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Over | 37c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Over | 49c | 29.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 43c | 28.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Over | 48c | 26.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 57c | 26.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f4…918fbacked Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Over | 57c | 22.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 56c | 20.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Over | 55c | 19.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Over | 56c | 18.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Under | 60c | 17.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5this page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta BravesSan Francisco Giants won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 11.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 12.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.