MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00299e2038116506297b5ef008c14a4458cf4287d7ec32d4c3088aea8cf0f341
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Francisco Giantsof Atlanta Braves, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Francisco Giants | 60c | 5,140$3,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.6 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…2f33backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 4,848$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked San Francisco Giants | 62c | 3,252$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.21 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 32c | 3,021$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.38 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 1,791$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.98 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 1,646$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.56 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 1,640$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.2 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 1,308$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.03 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked San Francisco Giants | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 988.26$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.54 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 986.16$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.16 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 493.11$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.47 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked San Francisco Giants | 60c | 423$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.2 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Atlanta Braves | 40c | 420$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Atlanta Braves | 39c | 256.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 255$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.45 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Atlanta Braves | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…5ba6backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974d…bd82backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 171.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…3e21backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 137$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 250 | 34.8%87 W · 163 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 112$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 112$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Atlanta Braves | 41c | 102.47$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 102$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Atlanta Braves | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 91.01$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked San Francisco Giants | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Atlanta Braves | 30c | 66.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed San Francisco Giants | 63c | 65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 64.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 59.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 362 | 50.3%182 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 59.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 59.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed Atlanta Braves | 35c | 57.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 443 | 45.6%202 W · 241 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked San Francisco Giants | 63c | 55.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c1…7e8ebacked San Francisco Giants | 61c | 54.51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed San Francisco Giants | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked San Francisco Giants | 61c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…7027backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 35.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…fcc5backed San Francisco Giants | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 816 | 51.8%423 W · 393 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta BravesSan Francisco Giants won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 11.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 12.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.