MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10be1745047799c6e1c253e658fc0b3261ba36a7b1278a51f570a2ad16f0fb3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof Atlanta Braves, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $928,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $983,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $928,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89dd…f662backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 400,000$184,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183,999.97 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked New York Mets | 54c | 214,000$115,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,440 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Mets | 54c | 83,249$44,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,375.86 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Mets | 54c | 80,000$43,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,800 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Mets | 52c | 40,334$20,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,357.63 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed New York Mets | 52c | 35,768$18,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,093.33 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed New York Mets | 54c | 30,047$16,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,821.64 | 323 | 51.7%167 W · 156 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Mets | 53c | 29,289$15,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,856.73 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed New York Mets | 54c | 22,000$11,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,120 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 18,089$7,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,229.59 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 15,566$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,316 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 15,456$7,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,513.42 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,249.99 | 490 | 51%250 W · 240 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed New York Mets | 52c | 12,072$6,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,794.46 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked New York Mets | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed New York Mets | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.96 | 356 | 43.5%155 W · 201 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Atlanta Braves | 22c | 8,617$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.03 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Atlanta Braves | 34c | 7,144$2,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457.96 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 6,439$3,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420.74 | 320 | 58.4%187 W · 133 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 6,384$2,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,725.98 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed New York Mets | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.95 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Atlanta Braves | 32c | 5,883$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.35 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 5,638$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Atlanta Braves | 0c | 5,522$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Mets | 53c | 5,396$2,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.7 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets | 54c | 5,226$2,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,394.49 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 5,082$2,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,344.99 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 4,499$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,084.11 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Atlanta Braves | 22c | 4,422$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.76 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Atlanta Braves | 18c | 4,357$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.11 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 4,326$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.32 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Atlanta Braves | 17c | 4,050$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.99 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 3,734$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.98 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 3,378$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.37 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets | 51c | 3,361$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.61 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets | 56c | 3,301$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.8 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked New York Mets | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Atlanta Braves | 4c | 2,937$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 107 | 25.2%27 W · 80 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed New York Mets | 50c | 2,403$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.56 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed New York Mets | 53c | 2,284$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.85 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed New York Mets | 54c | 2,200$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Mets | 33c | 2,077$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.35 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 1,938$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.98 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Atlanta Braves | 25c | 1,936$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.49 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…d9f7backed Atlanta Braves | 1c | 1,800$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 52c | 1,788$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.42 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Atlanta Braves | 16c | 1,762$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.13 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 1,702$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Atlanta Braves | 13c | 1,600$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked New York Mets | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 454 | 51.3%233 W · 221 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 1,181$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 1,025$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.25 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked New York Mets | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…8a89backed Atlanta Braves | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 1.5%1 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked New York Mets | 51c | 990$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.1 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked New York Mets | 52c | 962$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.76 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…fe26backed Atlanta Braves | 18c | 906.35$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 900$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 899.7$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.86 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Atlanta Braves | 18c | 840.72$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.7 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Mets | 61c | 819.54$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.21 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…a993backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 800$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 758.91$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.15 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…8a09backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 660$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.7 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 630$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.9 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 394 | 56.9%224 W · 170 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked New York Mets | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked New York Mets | 54c | 552.63$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.21 | 484 | 46.7%226 W · 258 L | -33.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 550$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a0…c52bbacked Atlanta Braves | 30c | 541.03$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 511.14$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.13 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed New York Mets | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Atlanta Braves | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed Atlanta Braves | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…eea5backed Atlanta Braves | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 494.96$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.68 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 488.98$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.93 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Mets | 63c | 479.99$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.25 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed New York Mets | 52c | 452.42$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.16 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 434.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.09 | 1,141 | 46.3%528 W · 613 L | +36.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 430$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Atlanta Braves | 26c | 420.37$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.98 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 420$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 418.8$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.21 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed New York Mets | 54c | 400.06$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.03 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed New York Mets | 65c | 387.43$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.97 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1332…2b23backed Atlanta Braves | 16c | 375$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 114 | 31.6%36 W · 78 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 370$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 1,326 | 44%583 W · 743 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked New York Mets | 46c | 356.72$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.72 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 344.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.4 | 1,293 | 43.5%562 W · 731 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 343.99$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.4 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsthis page
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. New York MetsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.