WNBA · resolved market
Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Fever
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d54ff4dbfaa8367975bc3c62db1be7e7fffb62c2c2f3e3dcc63b482fd2c0a32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phoenix Mercuryof Phoenix Mercury, Indiana Fever
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $254,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $265,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 258 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 14,161$7,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,320.92 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Indiana Fever | 71c | 7,794$5,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,496.51 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Phoenix Mercury | 28c | 7,647$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,471.68 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 5,771$2,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,835.39 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Indiana Fever | 73c | 5,555$4,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,070.31 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 4,985$2,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,533.32 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Indiana Fever | 77c | 4,620$3,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,540.89 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…7c4ebacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 4,343$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201.67 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Indiana Fever | 31c | 4,239$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.63 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed Phoenix Mercury | 24c | 4,082$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,102.57 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 3,402$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.67 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Phoenix Mercury | 23c | 3,309$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547.69 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Phoenix Mercury | 22c | 3,299$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,572.97 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 23c | 3,056$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,353.1 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Phoenix Mercury | 26c | 2,760$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.72 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +46%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Phoenix Mercury | 42c | 2,735$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.87 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Indiana Fever | 78c | 2,570$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Indiana Fever | 25c | 2,396$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.55 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Indiana Fever | 66c | 2,371$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.63 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Indiana Fever | 44c | 2,329$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.59 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Phoenix Mercury | 26c | 2,226$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.25 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 77c | 2,099$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.68 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Indiana Fever | 78c | 1,705$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.74 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Phoenix Mercury | 31c | 1,658$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.99 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Phoenix Mercury | 32c | 1,570$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.58 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Indiana Fever | 45c | 1,538$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.31 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Phoenix Mercury | 32c | 1,495$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.48 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 1,490$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.86 | 166 | 33.1%55 W · 111 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Phoenix Mercury | 76c | 1,420$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.32 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Indiana Fever | 75c | 1,360$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Indiana Fever | 38c | 1,338$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.02 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Indiana Fever | 65c | 1,315$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.09 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…b689backed Phoenix Mercury | 75c | 1,300$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.01 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Phoenix Mercury | 24c | 1,297$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.8 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Phoenix Mercury | 77c | 1,230$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.9 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Indiana Fever | 17c | 1,192$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.62 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Phoenix Mercury | 30c | 1,161$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.53 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc0…5765backed Phoenix Mercury | 71c | 1,075$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Indiana Fever | 76c | 1,036$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.99 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Indiana Fever | 64c | 988$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.05 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 22c | 985.75$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.3 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Phoenix Mercury | 45c | 907.33$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.85 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Phoenix Mercury | 27c | 900$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.08 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Indiana Fever | 41c | 851$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.53 | 105 | 38.1%40 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Phoenix Mercury | 65c | 797.88$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.99 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 730.03$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.79 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Phoenix Mercury | 19c | 699$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.19 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d0…5fc2backed Indiana Fever | 36c | 677.75$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.31 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Indiana Fever | 42c | 617.11$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.21 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Phoenix Mercury | 77c | 600$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed Phoenix Mercury | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Indiana Fever | 38c | 523.02$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.51 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed Indiana Fever | 78c | 506.41$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Indiana Fever | 66c | 501.95$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.77 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Indiana Fever | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Indiana Fever | 40c | 489$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62a…f05bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 62c | 486.65$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.65 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Phoenix Mercury | 36c | 486.02$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.2 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed Indiana Fever | 21c | 480$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Phoenix Mercury | 23c | 478.78$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.4 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 31c | 474.56$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.46 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Phoenix Mercury | 22c | 472.22$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.37 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Indiana Fever | 35c | 469.13$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.02 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4027…30b9backed Phoenix Mercury | 24c | 468.5$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.06 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Phoenix Mercury | 25c | 467.92$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.71 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 66c | 454.8$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.89 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Indiana Fever | 77c | 448$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.96 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 422.26$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.33 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 419.3$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.45 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Indiana Fever | 76c | 417.23$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.05 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Indiana Fever | 77c | 414$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.78 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Indiana Fever | 69c | 400$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…6c35backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 400$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…45c2backed Phoenix Mercury | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d6…423dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 400$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 23c | 397.19$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.71 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6334…6fa3backed Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 396.84$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Phoenix Mercury | 25c | 388.13$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.7 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Indiana Fever | 17c | 378.46$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 75 | 20%15 W · 60 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 369$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.27 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Indiana Fever | 23c | 361.27$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Indiana Fever | 45c | 345.73$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.58 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x103d…b34ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 72c | 326.39$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Phoenix Mercury | 27c | 320.1$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Indiana Fever | 78c | 308.99$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.76 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccf…ef8abacked Indiana Fever | 78c | 307.88$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Indiana Fever | 56c | 299.74$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.05 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Phoenix Mercury | 28c | 293.36$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Phoenix Mercury | 59c | 272.23$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.81 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x520d…e474backed Indiana Fever | 75c | 267.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Indiana Fever | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 23c | 254.05$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.62 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Phoenix Mercury | 30c | 246.07$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.93 | 133 | 58.6%78 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Phoenix Mercury | 62c | 238.76$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.73 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Phoenix Mercury | 23c | 224.79$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.09 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Indiana Fever | 43c | 224$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.32 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Phoenix Mercury | 23c | 217$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.09 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Indiana Fever | 38c | 210.92$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.84 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fe…b350backed Indiana Fever | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Feverthis page
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 175.5Over won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 176.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-7.5)Phoenix Mercury won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)Phoenix Mercury won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)Phoenix Mercury won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.