Fifa International · resolved market
Will Serbia vs. Albania end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x539a9e1e9d3379794ca378ff44fc3f28cecc9d7befe4df1de1b8e4747baabe6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Yes | 31c | 21,003$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 69c | 7,878$5,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451.89 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 69c | 6,038$4,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.63 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 69c | 3,338$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.77 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 70c | 3,230$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.44 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 71c | 900$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 63c | 867.33$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.98 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed Yes | 29c | 810.34$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 793$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.97 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed No | 71c | 761.9$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.95 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 38c | 368.42$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 36c | 333.33$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 36c | 275$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 69c | 274.19$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…8e7dbacked Yes | 31c | 274.19$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 73c | 253.22$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.37 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…a857backed No | 71c | 223.17$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.72 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1a…6258backed Yes | 37c | 202.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…faa4backed Yes | 29c | 174.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 71c | 155$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 69c | 152.42$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 71c | 130.28$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 71c | 129.25$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0964…e842backed Yes | 29c | 120.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b4…58c9backed Yes | 28c | 117.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 74c | 108$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 30c | 103.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 36c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 64c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…3c35backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…e0c4backed Yes | 28c | 82.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd79…60a6backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 73c | 73.93$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | +7.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 70c | 71.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46b…f862backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 25c | 67.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf978…cf69backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…c24ebacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 131 | 25.2%33 W · 98 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed No | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 70c | 26.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked No | 71c | 23.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…0b63backed No | 72c | 13.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Serbia vs. Albania end in a draw?this page
- Will Albania win on 2025-10-11?Yes won
- Will Serbia win on 2025-10-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.