TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$194,500
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$205,377

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,500 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2727…eef4backed Yes12c30,026$3,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,483.712924.1%7 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes18c9,949$1,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,812.3327737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes18c9,714$1,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.1948144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes18c4,352$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.3413517%23 W · 112 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes18c2,650$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4773321.2%7 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-55%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes16c2,329$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.662218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-1.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3604443.2%19 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x177c…bcd1backed Yes14c1,757$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.192218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick26cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aab…773bbacked Yes17c1,482$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.72633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+108.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes18c1,389$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010940.4%44 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes17c1,332$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.493444.1%15 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick36cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c06…db24backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.993330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd38b…e07abacked Yes16c1,223$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1048…f83abacked Yes17c1,200$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42b…41cfbacked Yes18c1,123$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.961020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-59.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No80c1,116$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5144753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes11c1,116$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.732540%10 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2065…48f2backed Yes17c1,100$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes18c1,026$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.5616046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1804367.4%29 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bc8…a613backed Yes15c999.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Yes18c999.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed Yes17c999.99$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1653033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-40.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf13b…d7fcbacked Yes17c900$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes6c895.34$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2731738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes16c893.33$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.9336630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes15c887.25$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010736.4%39 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes17c858.82$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1469953.5%53 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Yes18c833.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.42per pick30cpaid+123.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3405…3e36backed Yes18c824.92$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes17c738.57$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.569556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca73…b02ebacked Yes15c737.59$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ef1…d333backed Yes7c699.79$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7590%0 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes17c698.63$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.771926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-49.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes18c596.39$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.353318.2%6 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7a0…05c4backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-59%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3bea…f95abacked Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001450%7 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+39.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes12c536.33$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8911546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc11e…75c8backed Yes6c523.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf08e…b840backed Yes16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed Yes17c463.33$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.773641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes11c450.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508617.4%15 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f6c…08bfbacked Yes18c438.89$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe328…f4a3backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid+22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ee1…a312backed Yes17c397.52$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes6c382.11$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2512422.6%28 W · 96 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes8c378.48$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.617529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes7c359.3$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.549124.2%22 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a1e…6f16backed Yes18c358.57$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-43.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes15c333.95$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.811144.1%49 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1807…089fbacked Yes18c333.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7348…4dcebacked Yes11c321.69$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e6f…c966backed Yes12c316.37$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+76%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes19c301.86$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3238744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Yes5c301.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.137412.2%9 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick8cpaid+76%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x291b…2667backed No80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603271.9%23 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes17c299.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518640.7%35 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes18c286.6$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515334%18 W · 35 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d93…fa80backed Yes7c283.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-40.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick16cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0c8…c5d9backed Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-49.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503330.3%10 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.28per pick45cpaid+60.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes8c268.08$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.865215.4%8 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-48.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f9b…555cbacked Yes21c266.67$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes10c257.2$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4620841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd827…7e4bbacked Yes4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75ef…2597backed Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No37c242$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.4646742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb227…7553backed Yes17c235.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No80c232.22$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4419549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb15…5fefbacked No80c232$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.42653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Yes9c226.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.44738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c64…0e91backed Yes18c222.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+41.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d3f…1400backed Yes18c222.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0a4…fcf2backed Yes18c222.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8c9…753ebacked Yes17c216.61$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.09837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes18c211.11$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386136.1%22 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+35.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes18c211$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9818858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2298…ac49backed Yes10c203.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.123225%8 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Yes18c200$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.339037.8%34 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304233.3%14 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes11c182$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0214936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes17c180.21$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.841943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b7…2f8bbacked Yes10c176.61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Yes17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305945.8%27 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes17c171.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012134.7%42 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f41…b987backed Yes16c168.75$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+134.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fc1…075ebacked Yes18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Yes9c166.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510951.4%56 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Yes19c165$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.34146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96db…f7f9backed Yes17c158.82$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes18c150$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50ca…8edbbacked Yes17c147.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee75…f23abacked Yes17c145.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.951127.3%3 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f61…a4fcbacked Yes18c143.39$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.