Bundesliga · resolved market
SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf0512fbf8bd7d79d9c4a033ba89180e110a961d322d4b7140d7757a501485f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $240,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $240,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Under | 55c | 131,708$72,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,720 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 20,863$10,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,440.85 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over | 45c | 19,426$8,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,684.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Over | 42c | 17,790$7,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,346.21 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 44c | 13,270$5,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,378.73 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 45c | 8,684$3,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,819.62 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 8,209$3,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,544.26 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 44c | 7,379$3,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,162.63 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4e…6478backed Over | 34c | 6,723$2,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,435.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 45c | 6,400$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1783backed Over | 46c | 6,288$2,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,416.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ab…97b6backed Over | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,359.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc8…8255backed Over | 45c | 5,224$2,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,873.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Over | 45c | 4,800$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 47c | 4,144$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184.05 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 43c | 4,013$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.36 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +10.4wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Under | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…5136backed Over | 41c | 3,867$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 45c | 2,800$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 45c | 2,400$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 44c | 2,368$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.08 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 40c | 2,143$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.33 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 12c | 1,831$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.57 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 44c | 1,626$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.28 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 45c | 1,600$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 45c | 1,600$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 56c | 1,531$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.53 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.95 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 44c | 1,477$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.27 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 44c | 1,450$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.62 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 58c | 1,277$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.71 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Over | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Over | 45c | 1,150$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 35c | 1,061$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.41 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Over | 45c | 1,040$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over | 45c | 1,040$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 53c | 999.89$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.94 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 44c | 924.09$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.56 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over | 45c | 900$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over | 45c | 900$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 39c | 821.27$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.12 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 59c | 780.58$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.59 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 41c | 759.96$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.22 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 42c | 694.02$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 41c | 657.1$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.69 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 42c | 640.43$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.45 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 42c | 640.43$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.45 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 45c | 640$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 45c | 624$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.2 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 45c | 623.99$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.19 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 59c | 622.43$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.32 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 44c | 560$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.6 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 72c | 555.63$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 43c | 473$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.01 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 41c | 469$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.92 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 39c | 449$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.89 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Over | 39c | 425.9$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 43c | 422.21$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.6 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 58c | 419.47$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.27 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Over | 47c | 419.45$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.31 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 66c | 294.43$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.56 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Over | 28c | 286.07$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.97 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Over | 41c | 242.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.18 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Under | 53c | 214.89$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.89 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 46c | 214.77$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.27 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 60c | 213.33$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -6.7wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 41c | 199$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.41 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 45c | 182.35$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.29 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed Over | 47c | 180$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 41c | 179.8$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.39 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 57c | 173.68$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 37c | 169.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Over | 45c | 160$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 54c | 150.94$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +80%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 39c | 141$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.01 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Over | 44c | 137.02$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.06 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…4967backed Under | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over | 47c | 123.52$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Over | 47c | 122.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.69 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Over | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 51c | 117.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.66 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Over | 41c | 113.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 53c | 111.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.13 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Over | 45c | 103.3$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.15 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 53c | 99.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 43c | 95.83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.41 | 147 | 55.8%82 W · 65 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Over | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa422…d210backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5this page
- SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 0.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 4.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-2.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)SC Freiburg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.