World Politics · resolved market
Will Zoë Garbett win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x473ca0a2b9cade5d78d97c919a0a632da8e0f8ed209decd942caf27b1bf4f137
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked No | 5c | 1,275$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 150 | 22.7%34 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 7c | 923.76$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb9…f7e7backed Yes | 79c | 862.53$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.24 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 75cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…0e2bbacked No | 13c | 844$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +49%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…c4e8backed No | 13c | 821$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 6c | 752.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…f4f6backed Yes | 67c | 641.18$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 6c | 599.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1100…815ebacked No | 17c | 524$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ae…bb88backed No | 17c | 501$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.17 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 6c | 452.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…87e7backed No | 6c | 361.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…560ebacked No | 7c | 358.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 18c | 351.19$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +8.0wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +105%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 7c | 336.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 21c | 321.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 61c | 316.88$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.9 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 59c | 289.04$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.81 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 4c | 286.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec4…9258backed No | 5c | 267.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…220ebacked No | 4c | 238.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked No | 5c | 219.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6a…e7f6backed No | 6c | 198$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked No | 18c | 189.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f48…e69bbacked No | 20c | 182.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…97d2backed No | 7c | 158.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88bb…8d2cbacked No | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 24c | 144.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 14c | 142$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 14c | 142$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 9c | 121.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 13c | 118.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06f6…8fcfbacked Yes | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3f…7320backed No | 25c | 87.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 78c | 71.81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 132 | 68.9%91 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7748…58d7backed No | 35c | 67.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 29c | 65.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 27c | 53.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ad…6866backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 38c | 47.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a3…962fbacked Yes | 55c | 44.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6938…b3ddbacked No | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa47e…54a2backed No | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…a4ebbacked Yes | 65c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d12…4fc0backed Yes | 55c | 27.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 78c | 23.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 45c | 22.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e8…e187backed Yes | 50c | 21.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb333…e295backed Yes | 60c | 21.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507b…0742backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4046…374ebacked Yes | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zoë Garbett win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?this page
- Will Caroline Woodley win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.