World Politics · resolved market
Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x847e9fb7f4a6a7efc1f36957fd62c3878d062450f5febe162bdfc880361a4f7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 74c | 8,676$6,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,223.98 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked No | 29c | 5,895$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.73 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed No | 10c | 5,236$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.09 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea1a…bf1abacked No | 33c | 3,100$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 11c | 2,036$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.99 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…b178backed No | 32c | 1,677$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 6c | 1,644$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 77c | 1,481$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.83 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 28c | 1,262$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.91 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 22c | 1,130$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.61 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 5c | 1,097$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 140 | 27.9%39 W · 101 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 74c | 1,012$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.45 | 132 | 68.9%91 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 10c | 980.57$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.49 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 52c | 931.28$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.47 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 12c | 852$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.24 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…5c8bbacked Yes | 70c | 827.58$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 4c | 689.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…8bb6backed Yes | 52c | 625$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.05 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2251…25a0backed Yes | 70c | 603.44$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.05 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…78b5backed No | 24c | 542.39$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.77 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 26c | 540.52$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.54 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 9c | 530.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.45 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…c990backed No | 31c | 494.84$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed No | 14c | 482$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.89 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 55c | 460.78$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.6 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +8.0wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +105%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8b03…bbffbacked Yes | 61c | 448.52$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed Yes | 55c | 429.35$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.35 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…3f1dbacked No | 68c | 424$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed No | 8c | 398.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 25c | 360$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.75 | 110 | 20.9%23 W · 87 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd5…b038backed Yes | 32c | 355$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…1fa7backed No | 11c | 320$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked Yes | 80c | 316.86$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 14c | 313.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8d…71eebacked Yes | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +43%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…4e30backed Yes | 63c | 279.18$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.3 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69c9…3b29backed Yes | 55c | 272.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.56 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…be02backed No | 36c | 266.67$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…f4f6backed Yes | 55c | 257.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3f…7320backed No | 21c | 248.72$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 39c | 234.47$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked Yes | 75c | 234.44$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.15 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…17a6backed Yes | 77c | 232.29$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.29 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 67c | 223.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.69 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed No | 34c | 220$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7748…58d7backed No | 36c | 217.72$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.55 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…b306backed No | 41c | 209.82$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.71 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 12c | 204.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed No | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…b236backed Yes | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc50…7e68backed No | 33c | 193.66$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cea…0685backed No | 39c | 180$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5071…7fefbacked Yes | 66c | 178.7$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.76 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 38c | 176.54$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedc4…be57backed No | 6c | 168.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3336…f823backed Yes | 53c | 150$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 29c | 149.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…23c1backed Yes | 77c | 140$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 44c | 139.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.08 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16b…d420backed Yes | 70c | 139$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 9c | 134.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6071…e933backed No | 36c | 128.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecd…5d92backed Yes | 71c | 126$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ed…d19fbacked No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 80c | 118.27$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb2…a30cbacked No | 10c | 100.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +136.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…d561backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4a…3242backed Yes | 50c | 88.23$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b3…77b6backed No | 33c | 85.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed No | 52c | 83.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.9wins | -0.43per pick | 54cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…c61fbacked No | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 32c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed No | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda4…d5d2backed Yes | 70c | 78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 39c | 76.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e5…7087backed No | 50c | 71.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 26c | 71.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…3d3cbacked Yes | 71c | 70.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Yes | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4295…d464backed Yes | 35c | 69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc724…3a19backed Yes | 73c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9e…f556backed Yes | 71c | 65.49$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44c…6626backed Yes | 71c | 61.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a0…92aebacked Yes | 71c | 60.56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2870…70d0backed Yes | 71c | 59.43$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…9913backed Yes | 71c | 58.45$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x448c…8255backed Yes | 71c | 57.18$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…2a2dbacked No | 21c | 53.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed Yes | 70c | 53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7416…a538backed Yes | 71c | 51.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…c6a8backed Yes | 52c | 51.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2130…dd62backed Yes | 71c | 50.84$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7501…9edbbacked Yes | 73c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e3…8c80backed Yes | 71c | 48.45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357a…30a4backed Yes | 71c | 48.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9035…1e37backed No | 36c | 47.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…1c62backed Yes | 71c | 47.46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c4…e8c9backed Yes | 71c | 47.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4907…9202backed Yes | 71c | 46.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.