TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Boxing · resolved market

Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,896
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,528

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,896 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes43c6,050$2,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,469.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+134.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x375d…983ebacked Yes55c2,351$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadec…3c7bbacked Yes56c1,782$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked No57c1,700$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.430%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed No14c1,534$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.141136.4%4 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick14cpaid+123.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No6c1,105$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7660%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12c0…5c8bbacked No57c1,027$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03df…fe76backed Yes78c965.18$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3494…a814backed No50c928.65$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No14c892.96$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.871216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-69.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce8…d083backed Yes49c783.62$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No31c715.6$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x461d…9863backed Yes50c708.24$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Yes64c685.95$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x655c…1a00backed No55c558$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.01250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f7…2501backed No43c527.01$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.870%0 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0c7…133dbacked No57c525$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeae1…65ecbacked Yes50c517.31$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd1…eddbbacked No27c466.59$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No49c438.88$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.42035%7 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x611f…b58fbacked No57c400$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No50c400$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed No54c347.51$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.62450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+57.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1599…5432backed Yes57c312.75$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f38…36c1backed No44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff4…d735backed No17c294$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes51c281.48$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.712339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf08e…1256backed Yes55c269.45$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…f081backed No53c244.83$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f62…90a2backed No35c229.77$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x201a…fe3dbacked No7c222.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No15c212.96$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.380%0 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fe2…0d54backed No50c201.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c2…12e7backed No53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked No56c200$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.250%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa99f…b306backed No45c193$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9797…c193backed No53c188.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2800…da31backed No52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked No42c167.61$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.21118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick37cpaid-64.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xccec…1d12backed No19c129$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd496…4956backed Yes72c127.12$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed No60c118.56$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.141233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+59.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked No53c109.91$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9138…0690backed Yes45c108.98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked No10c108.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.950%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bab…e8e0backed No57c108$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x289e…9963backed Yes36c106.85$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd8…099dbacked Yes50c105.49$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e45…1efbbacked Yes32c103.52$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+211.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a41…2c3ebacked No57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf885…d719backed No44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x936a…7a5abacked Yes61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+65.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58e9…441abacked No51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c8f…4182backed No51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6674…c516backed No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf15…2f3dbacked No52c98.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55f5…27e9backed No20c98.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb5…cf85backed No18c97.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbb…3f66backed No58c97.48$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cbc…1d39backed Yes37c96.22$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No45c92.43$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.541650%8 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+84.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41c6…4577backed No40c86.3$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf3b…3d3cbacked Yes48c82.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc26e…d23fbacked Yes48c82.08$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes43c81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.343100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+68.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4009…84cdbacked Yes49c79.13$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…b4c6backed No63c79.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a9…fdb6backed Yes49c78.13$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca6a…a71dbacked Yes44c76.05$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed Yes64c69.64$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6746…d842backed No52c69.2$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa222…7d3cbacked Yes40c67.84$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x78e1…ba48backed No21c65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9660…8bb6backed Yes40c64.26$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+151.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f9…5975backed Yes48c63.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x914d…10d0backed No61c58.86$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3a9…e565backed No63c57$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0091…c00fbacked No63c56$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c40…3f6cbacked Yes67c55.59$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes48c52.38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.241172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f37…c150backed No46c51.65$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf2…31f0backed Yes49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a2…3b9dbacked No57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8444…1cf9backed No63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x730b…7f5bbacked No57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd54…b332backed No64c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-69.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5979…fc4fbacked No57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d8a…1f78backed No45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4460…54d1backed No57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa36…7d42backed No57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15f7…f0c4backed No45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa18d…9b51backed No57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdcd…0fe6backed No57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e3e…ea35backed No57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34db…2e01backed No45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b5e…57e5backed No45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88c5…6ce2backed Yes80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb803…0fdfbacked No57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d99…02c7backed No64c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.