World Politics · resolved market
Will Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5609de05c8dc10fff59bb718998ae3c106bcc2c9b289c9743b575dd24efdf2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 0c | 17,224$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15d9…6c00backed Yes | 11c | 2,537$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.78 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe313…c2efbacked Yes | 12c | 2,439$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ee…8dfebacked Yes | 2c | 2,044$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fc…fc19backed Yes | 5c | 2,033$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…25e6backed Yes | 1c | 1,438$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…d809backed No | 70c | 1,357$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.59 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 64c | 550.55$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.83 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…6271backed Yes | 34c | 279.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 15c | 270.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb616…0086backed No | 78c | 260$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 71c | 227.57$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb66…a175backed No | 70c | 220.23$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…0157backed Yes | 32c | 219.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 37c | 208.13$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.11 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c34…ec8cbacked No | 67c | 194.47$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e4…d641backed Yes | 17c | 192.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe5…3345backed Yes | 15c | 149.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…26efbacked No | 64c | 146.97$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa602…7cc7backed Yes | 28c | 130.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7748…58d7backed Yes | 36c | 111$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…f12abacked No | 63c | 109.54$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +215.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 35c | 108.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fee…850abacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 75c | 99.9$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91e…9ce7backed Yes | 26c | 91.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 12c | 90.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 34c | 88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…c235backed No | 72c | 72.05$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Yes | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.40per pick | 51cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 24c | 61.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 71c | 46.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 34c | 45.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 27c | 43.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d67…e756backed No | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…b3c2backed Yes | 35c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9035…1e37backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…83e9backed No | 76c | 36.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddfb…e607backed No | 63c | 34.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +338.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…b306backed Yes | 36c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…691dbacked No | 68c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 150 | 76%114 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa312…5436backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed No | 66c | 16.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?this page
- Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?No won
- Will Iain Black win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?No won
- Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?Yes won
- Will Yuri Fulmer win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.