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World Politics · resolved market

Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,828
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,735

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,828 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5207…686bbacked Yes73c6,797$4,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,843.652454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed9…febfbacked Yes26c4,992$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,707.152425%6 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-32.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d5b…a51ebacked Yes25c4,871$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,640.53742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8593…26efbacked Yes18c3,121$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,548.3540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+40.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No79c2,580$2,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,033.5910646.2%49 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cb3…60d2backed Yes16c2,278$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,914.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick23cpaid+254.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xecce…69d8backed Yes16c2,252$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,900.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+539.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2df…d9c8backed Yes25c2,005$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.05560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+35.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a47…d947backed Yes38c1,831$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e66…80b0backed Yes19c1,152$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+432.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No75c1,141$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.3836755.3%203 W · 164 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4526…14d9backed No75c1,040$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed No67c1,032$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.796439.1%25 W · 39 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc8b…f894backed Yes5c936.73$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.365036%18 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+39.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No74c858.72$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.7735854.7%196 W · 162 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No65c850.81$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.9219262.5%120 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2211…f15bbacked Yes50c815.9$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.57875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa35c…613abacked Yes27c741.01$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.012100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+159.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60d2…bbbabacked Yes26c740.09$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.29333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Yes34c700$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.42777.8%21 W · 6 L+13.2wins+0.49per pick29cpaid+167.8%equal weight78+0.25 edge/pick
0xc319…0e0cbacked Yes34c700$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.41250%6 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+86%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa12b…5a4cbacked Yes10c658.55$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+890.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes15c638.35$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.231,43710.2%147 W · 1,290 L-4.1wins0.00per pick11cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes16c606.52$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.9989448.3%432 W · 462 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbca2…d884backed Yes16c602.11$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.11714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6291…cc47backed Yes12c598.35$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.4628434.2%97 W · 187 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbd…1288backed Yes16c560.98$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.222634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked No46c500$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.55332.1%17 W · 36 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d6e…9418backed Yes15c499.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.39333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick6cpaid+126.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6d4…47f8backed Yes27c486.74$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+274.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb124…6cdabacked Yes32c449.51$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+211.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x753a…2e58backed Yes15c405.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+575.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07ee…8dfebacked Yes19c381.64$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.09633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8575…87febacked No72c366.41$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.213852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8d5…8935backed No67c300$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20110350.5%52 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd83b…73f9backed Yes23c286.73$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+328%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x155e…69b7backed Yes19c253.37$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.024924.5%12 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86a6…1ac6backed No70c242$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.44753.2%25 W · 22 L+8.9wins+0.19per pick34cpaid+50.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x93a2…f12abacked Yes13c236.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+215.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes25c231.82$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.3111647.4%55 W · 61 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddfb…e607backed Yes14c226.11$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+338.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes34c213.57$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.2846830.1%141 W · 327 L-20.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35aa…ba97backed Yes20c202.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.123100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+235%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes34c200$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.655334.5%191 W · 362 L-38.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No79c189$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.627155.7%151 W · 120 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7601…8435backed Yes22c185.86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.86425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f34…2f50backed No79c184.74$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.6615356.2%86 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb75…f496backed Yes19c160.42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.422520%5 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+77.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1ca…1705backed No65c157.09$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.117530.7%23 W · 52 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-43.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes10c153$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.851676.6%11 W · 156 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62e8…c7f6backed Yes33c152.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.441330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-40.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3bd…43d3backed No67c148.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No74c146.72$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4723355.8%130 W · 103 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed No53c140.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6145929.2%134 W · 325 L-69.3wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-51.2%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x1880…0e4cbacked Yes10c136.1$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+887%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf020…5b54backed Yes19c128.55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+431%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed No18c125.71$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8917754.8%97 W · 80 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes16c122.03$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7656314.6%82 W · 481 L-39.3wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0e3…6677backed Yes10c121.47$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.323429.4%10 W · 24 L+6.1wins+0.18per pick12cpaid+167.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5d0c…fbd7backed Yes17c121.4$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.53540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+42.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed No67c105.02$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8417953.1%95 W · 84 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd76…77bdbacked No69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.64944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e9…b678backed Yes19c99.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+154.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No52c99.03$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1639813.8%55 W · 343 L-72.7wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-73.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xc570…9bdcbacked Yes11c98.55$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+790.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d4b…d090backed Yes41c97.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.91333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed No62c97.27$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.413953.8%21 W · 18 L+8.0wins+0.20per pick33cpaid+105%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes17c94.21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.44721.3%10 W · 37 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick12cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9fc…fc19backed No75c93.58$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7040%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ad7…a31fbacked Yes30c93.22$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.22633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick20cpaid-18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes12c92.97$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.819315.5%30 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5136…0e4fbacked No70c89.57$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633562.9%22 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked No75c86.26$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8515076%114 W · 36 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick74cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad58…8553backed Yes17c85.89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.16333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick14cpaid+94.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb66…a175backed No70c81.4$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.691330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x98d0…f14abacked Yes35c80.98$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5514947.7%71 W · 78 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5566…7c29backed No79c78.14$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.055345.3%24 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd47…4dc7backed Yes20c74.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+398%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No75c70.21$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6799417.2%171 W · 823 L-149.6wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-61.5%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes33c60.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6227438.3%105 W · 169 L-32.3wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-35.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8b0d…9501backed Yes32c58.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.16633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed No73c54$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3115854.4%86 W · 72 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No65c52.54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.31,34444.3%595 W · 749 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x936a…7a5abacked Yes38c52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.192965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9343…d15ebacked Yes33c51$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+199.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x257b…d288backed Yes36c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.61650%8 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked No66c39.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5511045.5%50 W · 60 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No66c37.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.511,02228%286 W · 736 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e4b…ac6bbacked No74c34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.251533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-40.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc668…4f06backed Yes31c33.12$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.853243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb26…0e22backed No76c29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.031963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f70…312bbacked No77c25.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid+10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed No77c25.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9214425%36 W · 108 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a31…f2f0backed No69c22.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.426139.3%24 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fc8…5709backed No66c21.46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.191216.7%2 W · 10 L-4.5wins-0.37per pick54cpaid-76.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1aa6…868fbacked No68c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5820%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.