Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 9-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4f1ebbe83edc72c83bd0e2caf1bda7e2e40593ee36df88a8d89e1db6869f0ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $484,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $440,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $484,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 6c | 51,548$3,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,189.78 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 20c | 25,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 77c | 24,668$18,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,692.67 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…a96ebacked Yes | 28c | 18,161$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 75c | 15,123$11,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,289.58 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…1c17backed Yes | 24c | 13,436$3,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,284.48 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 70c | 10,581$7,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,141.3 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 70c | 8,524$5,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585.92 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 6,780$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed No | 72c | 6,295$4,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.24 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed Yes | 31c | 6,147$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.89 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 10c | 5,782$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c9…a644backed Yes | 38c | 5,000$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…2dd5backed Yes | 11c | 4,545$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 14cpaid | +155%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 16c | 4,163$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.35 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 5c | 4,000$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dda…6ec7backed Yes | 24c | 2,963$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.84 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 76c | 2,949$2,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.88 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf986…bc7dbacked No | 72c | 2,775$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.44 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 27c | 2,598$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.61 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…56bcbacked No | 77c | 2,597$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.31 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe14b…1ad3backed No | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b8…ec46backed Yes | 5c | 2,396$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…e383backed Yes | 7c | 1,997$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.79 | 90 | 4.4%4 W · 86 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 12c | 1,732$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.25 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c35…feebbacked Yes | 8c | 1,697$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.21 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…8003backed Yes | 20c | 1,682$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.52 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72e7…992bbacked No | 39c | 1,658$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.13 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 74c | 1,638$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.63 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa55e…253dbacked No | 63c | 1,606$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 1,547$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.65 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e33…68ddbacked Yes | 7c | 1,436$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…394fbacked Yes | 51c | 1,378$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.15 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,328$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.73 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…6573backed Yes | 8c | 1,253$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.68 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 75c | 1,102$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.78 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed Yes | 8c | 1,095$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.59 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 58c | 965.4$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.3 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 79c | 920.22$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.97 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b4…95b6backed Yes | 27c | 850$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 5c | 766.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b9…dc25backed Yes | 8c | 747$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…22d8backed No | 66c | 729.98$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.92 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +7.0wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc241…1487backed No | 74c | 725.1$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.15 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +7.0wins | +0.24per pick | 28cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 8c | 641.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…83a5backed Yes | 18c | 616.67$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…8526backed Yes | 8c | 600$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 5.5%7 W · 121 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 8c | 599.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7383…bd0bbacked Yes | 65c | 571.43$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…b1dbbacked Yes | 8c | 544.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 137 | 5.8%8 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 28c | 537.97$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.92 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…7607backed Yes | 23c | 525.52$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7561…5ed6backed Yes | 66c | 519.7$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328c…cbbcbacked Yes | 4c | 510$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x807d…76dcbacked No | 37c | 500$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.6 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3136…791abacked Yes | 27c | 467.44$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…8613backed Yes | 22c | 452.86$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.52 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…1d13backed No | 75c | 449.99$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe585…91b5backed No | 78c | 447.49$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.49 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cc…4fffbacked Yes | 13c | 431.36$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…05efbacked No | 29c | 418.03$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.59 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47b8…949fbacked Yes | 11c | 408.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…2df4backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x987f…b37dbacked No | 80c | 396.81$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e7…d932backed Yes | 65c | 393.97$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.08 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…2261backed Yes | 11c | 371.49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…21babacked No | 69c | 368.3$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53b5…d768backed Yes | 20c | 350$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a6…1d4bbacked Yes | 27c | 342.45$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0070…0414backed No | 68c | 341.32$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.45 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…de81backed Yes | 10c | 335.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x007f…58dabacked No | 30c | 334.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5e…79c7backed Yes | 50c | 330$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 53c | 329$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.83 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaecf…a030backed Yes | 13c | 320$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c7…ff77backed Yes | 8c | 316.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +877.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5763…1c22backed Yes | 23c | 306.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.43 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…be55backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed No | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b9…de55backed Yes | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa26…e1e2backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2c…e783backed No | 78c | 285.91$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a7…3becbacked Yes | 42c | 281.15$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…1f74backed No | 62c | 267.06$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.02 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f7…b4ccbacked Yes | 8c | 252.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb422…08acbacked No | 79c | 252.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…9ed0backed Yes | 26c | 238.52$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.83 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9bf…2a09backed No | 40c | 234.89$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.98 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d74…596bbacked Yes | 20c | 224.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -92.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 57c | 215.96$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.1 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…7e61backed No | 50c | 200.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…6239backed No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5060…cbcdbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…e02ebacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +127.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…a9f2backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993d…3174backed Yes | 26c | 175$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…bd8abacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x049f…c09ebacked Yes | 24c | 167.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a5…e475backed Yes | 26c | 156.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17c8…0580backed Yes | 24c | 156.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 9-15?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 February 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 February 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 February 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 February 9-15?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 February 9-15?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 February 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 February 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 February 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 February 9-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.