Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 9-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbae0d8714e763bf18989000edc6be889441404c8bc42fe149c02fe0b2bbf2a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $488,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $455,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $488,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01e7…d932backed Yes | 52c | 42,858$22,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,281.19 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked No | 80c | 29,611$23,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,032.28 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 40c | 24,741$9,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,857.31 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…a96ebacked No | 46c | 22,295$10,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,102.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 9c | 22,000$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.86 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…22d8backed No | 72c | 13,772$9,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,808.3 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +7.0wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…1cf9backed Yes | 6c | 12,843$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc747…324bbacked Yes | 2c | 10,685$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.09 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +12.3wins | +0.19per pick | 4cpaid | +272.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 63c | 9,387$5,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450.01 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…84f7backed Yes | 4c | 7,411$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 22c | 6,449$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.27 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed Yes | 47c | 6,401$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,019.85 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 5,734$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.14 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3360…955bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…1c17backed Yes | 64c | 4,667$2,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970.99 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c9…a644backed No | 74c | 4,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41fe…79c1backed Yes | 14c | 3,837$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.17 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe14b…1ad3backed No | 40c | 3,750$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c35…feebbacked Yes | 1c | 3,334$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed Yes | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…0969backed No | 75c | 2,849$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 23c | 2,695$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…8003backed Yes | 23c | 2,613$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.71 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 10c | 2,268$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.9 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 2c | 2,074$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88df…a457backed Yes | 23c | 2,045$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.09 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0185…79c7backed Yes | 7c | 2,021$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 4cpaid | +877.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64dd…c377backed Yes | 1c | 1,793$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa26…e1e2backed Yes | 4c | 1,758$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…6239backed Yes | 30c | 1,667$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Yes | 30c | 1,644$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…33f4backed Yes | 4c | 1,500$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 10c | 1,422$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.25 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 1,418$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,388$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 7c | 1,335$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.58 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…64aebacked Yes | 27c | 1,209$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.18 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59e1…431dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,100$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…333ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,069$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +371.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7651…251abacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…17b2backed Yes | 63c | 924.85$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.14 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…ba10backed Yes | 1c | 923.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d79…b410backed Yes | 2c | 869.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 7c | 819.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.09 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…891fbacked Yes | 15c | 806.2$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed Yes | 3c | 800$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +160.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed No | 48c | 799.99$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.99 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 42c | 728.64$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.03 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0070…0414backed Yes | 41c | 682.5$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.91 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02af…a5adbacked Yes | 48c | 633.02$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 62c | 632.24$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.65 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 25c | 616.38$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.85 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 3c | 600$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 48c | 600$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 3c | 600$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b10dbacked Yes | 67c | 562.9$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6e…cd0fbacked Yes | 53c | 561.36$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…8526backed Yes | 4c | 554.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 128 | 5.5%7 W · 121 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226c…6bafbacked Yes | 36c | 544.38$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +202.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe37a…6db7backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Yes | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…b1dbbacked Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 137 | 5.8%8 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9204…7bd5backed Yes | 56c | 499.99$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.99 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 29c | 476$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.04 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 50c | 472.86$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.17 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…c169backed Yes | 39c | 436.73$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.69 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x874b…ee58backed Yes | 24c | 412$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Yes | 35c | 395.07$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.32 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…a37bbacked Yes | 70c | 356.65$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05cb…f625backed Yes | 31c | 340.31$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.19 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5742…5e12backed Yes | 43c | 332.1$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.69 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7952…025abacked Yes | 45c | 328.91$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 47c | 313.85$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.34 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcf…4792backed Yes | 5c | 313.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ab…8d7cbacked Yes | 25c | 308$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7b…1f36backed Yes | 25c | 280.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c7…74e2backed Yes | 54c | 278.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…026dbacked Yes | 25c | 270$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes | 60c | 268.53$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.12 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…519fbacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x807c…94f9backed No | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8212…5933backed Yes | 4c | 243.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +8.1wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +189.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 42c | 241.45$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.59 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dda…6ec7backed Yes | 42c | 236.88$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…de81backed Yes | 15c | 232.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…c58fbacked Yes | 44c | 225$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…8993backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…7a12backed No | 76c | 220$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b7…9bd3backed Yes | 32c | 219.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdf…89c4backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff3…5971backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb60e…3574backed No | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c6…0ea8backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4363…d6e0backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +633.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff7…85d9backed Yes | 57c | 174.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…7fc1backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…6770backed Yes | 47c | 156$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 9-15?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 February 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 February 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 February 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 February 9-15?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 February 9-15?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 February 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 February 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 February 9-15?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 February 9-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.