World Politics · resolved market
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec5f006a67dc2d3b757968aac03b9d6c82b1314e7e43bb484c01f3738648e27f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,035,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $951,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,035,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 782 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12af…3c82backed Yes | 30c | 62,410$18,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,578.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 51c | 55,821$28,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,227.84 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…7a62backed Yes | 1c | 38,246$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…79dfbacked Yes | 41c | 35,000$14,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,450.34 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48dd…e8b6backed Yes | 50c | 33,078$16,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,578.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 49c | 31,293$15,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,432.16 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ca…faa7backed Yes | 48c | 30,825$14,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,777.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b11…de6abacked Yes | 0c | 23,487$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3f…3badbacked Yes | 46c | 22,207$10,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,214.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x970e…7ae4backed Yes | 1c | 19,230$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…50f3backed Yes | 0c | 18,723$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes | 50c | 15,721$7,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,803.76 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4647…d9a1backed Yes | 3c | 12,099$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…31abbacked Yes | 46c | 12,035$5,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,584.38 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…0d3fbacked No | 50c | 11,482$5,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,715.88 | 133 | 34.6%46 W · 87 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…cb2abacked No | 72c | 11,458$8,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,208.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3da…1ccebacked Yes | 15c | 10,654$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…8cfdbacked No | 60c | 9,699$5,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,876.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Yes | 7c | 9,674$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.53 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…2032backed No | 51c | 8,368$4,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,104.33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…47e6backed Yes | 38c | 7,505$2,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886.97 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Yes | 3c | 7,125$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.91 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee2…bea6backed No | 55c | 7,024$3,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,163.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa9…b675backed Yes | 1c | 6,998$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 3c | 6,918$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.36 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…01bfbacked Yes | 1c | 6,857$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 55c | 6,556$3,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,952.97 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 32c | 6,486$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.06 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Yes | 43c | 6,453$2,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,796.58 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…3c13backed No | 60c | 6,277$3,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,529.82 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +11.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 61c | 6,239$3,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.91 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x991e…fc54backed Yes | 42c | 6,087$2,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,577.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb02b…a35cbacked Yes | 8c | 6,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…93c8backed Yes | 16c | 5,704$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.81 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +284.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 50c | 5,666$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,846.28 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…93fdbacked No | 66c | 5,587$3,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.03 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…01babacked Yes | 6c | 5,551$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.18 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 59c | 5,546$3,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280.52 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc03…804cbacked No | 79c | 5,454$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.85 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed Yes | 43c | 5,130$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201.9 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 53c | 5,038$2,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.6 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5947…c7dcbacked Yes | 43c | 4,990$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +221.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce7d…24fcbacked Yes | 0c | 4,981$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40fa…bd0fbacked Yes | 12c | 4,428$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…9ff4backed Yes | 50c | 4,368$2,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfb…cd4fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…4ca8backed Yes | 0c | 3,750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…6003backed Yes | 27c | 3,630$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…1186backed Yes | 33c | 3,603$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 40c | 3,600$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.97 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 56c | 3,529$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.56 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 60c | 3,393$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.55 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…e521backed Yes | 0c | 3,256$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd597…353cbacked Yes | 10c | 3,240$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 49c | 3,208$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.46 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf922…c778backed Yes | 13c | 3,009$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1a…aceabacked No | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5780…a6dbbacked Yes | 46c | 2,991$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9a…db3fbacked Yes | 42c | 2,802$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 51c | 2,800$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.98 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…5a18backed Yes | 18c | 2,751$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18a…98aebacked No | 64c | 2,731$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.88 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 24c | 2,686$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.8 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…f879backed Yes | 40c | 2,631$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 59c | 2,563$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.21 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed No | 71c | 2,525$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.44 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 56c | 2,490$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.63 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb156…86d7backed Yes | 1c | 2,465$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee9…78d0backed Yes | 39c | 2,451$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94aa…024ebacked Yes | 41c | 2,438$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 38c | 2,400$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.54 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 45c | 2,368$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.94 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x518f…9563backed No | 66c | 2,328$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 51c | 2,302$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.06 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9299…293cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,274$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…e15cbacked No | 52c | 2,173$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f4…8ea6backed Yes | 3c | 2,148$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2df…b572backed Yes | 1c | 2,100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…568dbacked Yes | 48c | 2,095$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.76 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5342…57bcbacked Yes | 56c | 2,029$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed Yes | 38c | 2,028$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.44 | 101 | 22.8%23 W · 78 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 26c | 2,005$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.69 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x188b…3989backed Yes | 1c | 2,002$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed No | 52c | 2,000$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.8 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 35c | 2,000$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.68 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed No | 51c | 2,000$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.3 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…88fabacked Yes | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…dce7backed No | 60c | 1,961$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.12 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f26…5132backed Yes | 2c | 1,954$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 16c | 1,874$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.16 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +6.5wins | +0.26per pick | 22cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1d38…3bd9backed Yes | 6c | 1,800$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.79 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 46c | 1,770$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.47 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 69c | 1,768$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.11 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…a330backed No | 59c | 1,768$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 57c | 1,755$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.81 | 76 | 18.4%14 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4997…6b67backed Yes | 1c | 1,719$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…8f06backed Yes | 49c | 1,700$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1834…051ebacked No | 49c | 1,700$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b6…cc14backed Yes | 41c | 1,694$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed No | 51c | 1,679$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.21 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?this page
- Will António Filipe win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes won
- Will Catarina Martins win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will José Cardoso win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Manuela Magno win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Paulo Portas win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Pedro Passos Coelho win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Raul Perestrello win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Rui Moreira win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Ângela Maryah win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.