Lol · resolved market
LoL: Disguised vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0f648ee97c253f744670d9f446c416b106eedf63ce6f0df57d5778f663ce228
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Disguised, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $431,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $445,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $431,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Disguised | 34c | 90,000$30,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,599.99 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Team Liquid | 66c | 61,405$40,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,877.76 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Team Liquid | 65c | 51,923$33,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,119.69 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Liquid | 66c | 36,877$24,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,619.76 | 641 | 55.7%357 W · 284 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Disguised | 37c | 30,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,999.96 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed Disguised | 12c | 25,912$3,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,148.82 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Disguised | 34c | 22,220$7,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,532.58 | 200 | 35%70 W · 130 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Disguised | 35c | 21,076$7,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,371.07 | 397 | 49.1%195 W · 202 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Disguised | 14c | 15,678$2,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,127.09 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Team Liquid | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 164 | 54.9%90 W · 74 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x063a…8382backed Team Liquid | 67c | 10,000$6,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,340 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Disguised | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…f688backed Team Liquid | 64c | 10,000$6,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,627.64 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Team Liquid | 66c | 8,888$5,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021.92 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Team Liquid | 61c | 8,467$5,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,293.25 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…74c1backed Disguised | 11c | 8,434$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.17 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Disguised | 4c | 7,714$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.55 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Liquid | 66c | 7,076$4,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,389.87 | 311 | 53.4%166 W · 145 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Disguised | 34c | 7,000$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380 | 499 | 40.7%203 W · 296 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…ac38backed Disguised | 19c | 5,263$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7db…ee3ebacked Disguised | 27c | 5,150$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.15 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Disguised | 35c | 4,858$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.57 | 679 | 31.8%216 W · 463 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Disguised | 35c | 4,500$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Team Liquid | 72c | 4,273$3,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.96 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4304…1c4ebacked Disguised | 34c | 3,980$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…eca3backed Disguised | 34c | 3,845$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.34 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Disguised | 36c | 3,500$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.98 | 484 | 40.5%196 W · 288 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Team Liquid | 65c | 3,363$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.25 | 183 | 50.8%93 W · 90 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…c4adbacked Team Liquid | 61c | 3,022$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.65 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…4026backed Disguised | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Team Liquid | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Disguised | 35c | 3,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Disguised | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Disguised | 34c | 2,908$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.75 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Disguised | 1c | 2,615$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Team Liquid | 64c | 2,344$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.74 | 528 | 48.9%258 W · 270 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Team Liquid | 66c | 2,250$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | +18.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa404…ccfebacked Team Liquid | 67c | 2,247$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Team Liquid | 67c | 2,138$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.17 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Disguised | 18c | 2,045$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.55 | 398 | 51.8%206 W · 192 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Disguised | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 1,912$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.74 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Team Liquid | 75c | 1,820$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.87 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Disguised | 5c | 1,600$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Team Liquid | 77c | 1,549$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.76 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Disguised | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 281 | 50.5%142 W · 139 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…8927backed Team Liquid | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 420 | 50.5%212 W · 208 L | +27.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Disguised | 27c | 1,402$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.32 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…4a8fbacked Disguised | 19c | 1,316$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Disguised | 19c | 1,315$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 657 | 54.5%358 W · 299 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Disguised | 16c | 1,200$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 140 | 38.6%54 W · 86 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Disguised | 14c | 1,186$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.64 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Disguised | 29c | 1,085$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.09 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Team Liquid | 61c | 1,061$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.79 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid | 66c | 1,047$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.05 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Team Liquid | 68c | 1,027$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.16 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Team Liquid | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.21 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Disguised | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Team Liquid | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 505 | 69.9%353 W · 152 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…80d0backed Disguised | 8c | 901.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Team Liquid | 60c | 865.93$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.37 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…e04fbacked Disguised | 34c | 834.06$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Team Liquid | 67c | 747.16$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.56 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed Team Liquid | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 184 | 51.6%95 W · 89 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 703.62$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.19 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb48b…04ebbacked Disguised | 33c | 700$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Team Liquid | 66c | 687.15$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.63 | 146 | 44.5%65 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Disguised | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…0558backed Disguised | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 182 | 36.8%67 W · 115 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…bbfbbacked Disguised | 8c | 543$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Team Liquid | 65c | 538.46$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.46 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Team Liquid | 61c | 510.45$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.08 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Disguised | 36c | 500$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.4 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Team Liquid | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Disguised | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…8ba2backed Disguised | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Team Liquid | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57af…cd44backed Disguised | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Disguised | 34c | 495$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…1416backed Team Liquid | 67c | 484.93$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Disguised | 31c | 441.92$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.11 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…fb2dbacked Disguised | 35c | 439.46$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.69 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Disguised | 34c | 434$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.26 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | -15.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Team Liquid | 65c | 400.16$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.06 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Team Liquid | 67c | 400$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ae…04b2backed Disguised | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Team Liquid | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Disguised | 23c | 380.01$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.79 | 960 | 54.2%520 W · 440 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Team Liquid | 66c | 373$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.82 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Disguised | 31c | 368.44$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Team Liquid | 68c | 358.55$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.58 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Team Liquid | 77c | 358.27$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.07 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Team Liquid | 56c | 344.84$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.73 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Team Liquid | 63c | 337$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.46 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0473…f001backed Disguised | 23c | 335$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Disguised | 35c | 316.41$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.74 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Team Liquid | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Disguised | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b9…ff7abacked Team Liquid | 67c | 299.93$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Disguised vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsthis page
- Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- LoL: Disguised vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Disguised vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Disguised vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.