World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20208113a0bee764f7444ec2b8a90c1fd84bf2b7d0fb4d808c47da52b1521486

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,160,581
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,210,440

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,160,581 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes	1c	102,081$1,248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,247.56	299	16.7%50 W · 249 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	3c	35,910$1,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,001.43	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacb…90cbbacked Yes	2c	33,177$803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$803.18	179	19%34 W · 145 L	+9.1wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x622b…d7ecbacked Yes	4c	31,914$1,251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250.62	63	17.5%11 W · 52 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	4c	30,670$1,204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,204.5	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	5c	24,982$1,186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,186.06	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	2c	20,901$521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521.3	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16e3…22d5backed Yes	4c	19,391$772 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$772.13	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+57.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	2c	18,990$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.46	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcff4…8b0ebacked Yes	2c	18,803$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.47	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.18per pick	26cpaid	+45.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes	2c	15,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	162	25.3%41 W · 121 L	-10.8wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7f4…bc90backed Yes	5c	12,936$647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$646.82	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed Yes	5c	11,315$538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$537.96	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x197e…cb34backed Yes	7c	11,110$775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$774.84	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed Yes	3c	10,204$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.82	43	14%6 W · 37 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-71.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes	3c	9,587$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.14	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…820cbacked Yes	4c	7,731$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.4	71	26.8%19 W · 52 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes	2c	7,652$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.24	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03be…e99cbacked Yes	1c	7,412$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.03	24	12.5%3 W · 21 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-49%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	3c	6,949$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.49	167	4.2%7 W · 160 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b43…467fbacked Yes	1c	6,776$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.83	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked Yes	1c	6,609$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.05	56	3.6%2 W · 54 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+93.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	5c	6,553$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.16	170	5.9%10 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd046…98b1backed Yes	5c	6,400$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4919…5a51backed Yes	5c	6,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes	1c	5,840$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.85	54	13%7 W · 47 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c9…6410backed Yes	2c	5,801$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.41	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fd6…fc59backed Yes	5c	5,766$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92a2…dfd7backed Yes	1c	5,040$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	10cpaid	+71%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Yes	2c	4,989$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.82	140	49.3%69 W · 71 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb50b…a74fbacked Yes	2c	4,969$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+2.8wins	+0.13per pick	15cpaid	+44.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b5b…576fbacked Yes	3c	4,726$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.27	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes	4c	4,706$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	62	8.1%5 W · 57 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-73.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9d4…9002backed Yes	2c	4,528$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.75	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	26cpaid	-85.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes	2c	4,500$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.5	427	10.3%44 W · 383 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Yes	4c	4,495$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.22	46	30.4%14 W · 32 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b78…e410backed Yes	5c	4,094$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.36	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yes	4c	3,940$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.05	179	45.3%81 W · 98 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed Yes	5c	3,895$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.71	126	6.3%8 W · 118 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Yes	1c	3,500$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.72	356	14.3%51 W · 305 L	-14.3wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3455…ddccbacked Yes	3c	3,370$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.65	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes	5c	3,294$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.04	342	47.7%163 W · 179 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd1f…ea7abacked Yes	3c	3,158$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-3.5wins	-0.15per pick	56cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d0b…3282backed Yes	5c	3,115$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a33…c087backed Yes	5c	3,073$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	10	10%1 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes	4c	2,997$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.87	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	+3.7wins	+0.10per pick	32cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29fc…a1b7backed Yes	5c	2,898$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.51	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	2,876$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.02	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b96…6226backed Yes	4c	2,849$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.77	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6af8…9698backed Yes	1c	2,642$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes	3c	2,544$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	40	2.5%1 W · 39 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes	5c	2,543$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.92	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.9wins	+0.27per pick	30cpaid	+85.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1980…3c8dbacked Yes	2c	2,500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	48	12.5%6 W · 42 L	-3.9wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41c2…b6a5backed Yes	5c	2,490$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127	52	48.1%25 W · 27 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e7a…75c5backed Yes	4c	2,476$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a61…50e2backed Yes	5c	2,360$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.28	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe17f…9d41backed Yes	5c	2,278$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x704a…25b8backed Yes	5c	2,270$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.68	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb7e…28ddbacked Yes	3c	2,233$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.79	89	36%32 W · 57 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa02d…07b3backed Yes	1c	2,201$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+2.1wins	+0.13per pick	18cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x02c9…7723backed Yes	5c	2,181$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9049…0522backed Yes	2c	2,156$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe063…4de6backed Yes	0c	2,104$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+2.2wins	+0.20per pick	26cpaid	+106.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf65f…d97ebacked Yes	5c	2,102$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	25	32%8 W · 17 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf2f…06bebacked Yes	5c	2,077$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.61	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb48e…d489backed Yes	5c	2,067$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4732…2f88backed Yes	5c	2,050$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.45	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77bb…c348backed Yes	5c	2,034$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37f0…04f3backed Yes	4c	2,008$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	59	3.4%2 W · 57 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-77.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Yes	5c	2,006$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.93	78	50%39 W · 39 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8854…8e9cbacked Yes	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x553a…93c8backed Yes	5c	1,929$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.47	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Yes	4c	1,885$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	188	27.7%52 W · 136 L	-6.5wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f0f…cb20backed Yes	5c	1,854$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17ba…b3a7backed Yes	2c	1,828$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2995…8410backed Yes	3c	1,757$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.83	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x134b…b4d2backed Yes	1c	1,744$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.72	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3abc…4a92backed Yes	5c	1,725$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.58	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea88…a8a8backed Yes	2c	1,700$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.01	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	6c	1,676$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.49	218	37.2%81 W · 137 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x472e…3669backed Yes	2c	1,649$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.55	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	1c	1,600$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.4	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb394…1733backed Yes	5c	1,515$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+1.7wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7456…f8adbacked Yes	5c	1,500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e99…72a0backed Yes	3c	1,440$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes	1c	1,414$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	630	35.7%225 W · 405 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77e8…58f3backed Yes	3c	1,390$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.75	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+35.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdefa…d902backed Yes	2c	1,358$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.36	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.11per pick	34cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bd0…f9e7backed Yes	5c	1,348$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	121	46.3%56 W · 65 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3fc…26b7backed Yes	5c	1,339$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.61	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b0b…36e5backed Yes	4c	1,334$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+2.6wins	+0.24per pick	12cpaid	+226.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd61a…c7f1backed Yes	5c	1,332$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.69	20	0%0 W · 20 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes	1c	1,329$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.22	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	2c	1,327$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.91	37	0%0 W · 37 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9864…ebc5backed Yes	4c	1,282$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ea…6ebbbacked Yes	1c	1,267$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.52	56	21.4%12 W · 44 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd096…2f6fbacked Yes	2c	1,250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc5e…94f9backed Yes	1c	1,250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4b0…427ebacked Yes	1c	1,250$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.89	34	17.6%6 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91b3…77d6backed Yes	3c	1,198$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.54	25	0%0 W · 25 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market