o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3400bee676ed90a83bff9b6bfa88bcf0abca0048792f047726146a7fd3611e2

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $100,128
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $128,271

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,128 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1635…5624backed No	51c	24,672$12,462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,461.95	56	42.9%24 W · 32 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x57f9…bcd9backed Yes	48c	10,517$5,061 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,455.63	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2879…1776backed No	29c	3,655$1,051 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,051.34	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d1f…5757backed Yes	43c	2,886$1,235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,650.98	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbb…a41abacked Yes	39c	2,755$1,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,684.45	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed No	2c	2,477$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.16	206	1.9%4 W · 202 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	+62.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x764f…64a1backed Yes	74c	1,860$1,375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$484.67	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.41per pick	74cpaid	-54.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8262…eddebacked Yes	53c	1,799$958 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$840.79	143	35.7%51 W · 92 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No	32c	1,496$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471.88	46	17.4%8 W · 38 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	3c	1,220$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.65	766	3.3%25 W · 741 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No	8c	1,199$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.48	154	1.9%3 W · 151 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-86.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cb2…94dcbacked Yes	53c	1,130$603 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$526.68	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.33per pick	42cpaid	+77.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5316…0906backed Yes	66c	1,067$706 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$361.76	59	74.6%44 W · 15 L	+12.8wins	+0.22per pick	53cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes	43c	1,024$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$584.46	128	40.6%52 W · 76 L	+13.8wins	+0.11per pick	30cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes	38c	1,000$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$620	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2471…6464backed Yes	55c	999.99$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd10…fc0bbacked Yes	65c	989.06$638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.01	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	+2.8wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No	34c	877.86$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.82	25	36%9 W · 16 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9506…c548backed No	2c	796.75$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45cb…99eebacked Yes	64c	756.19$484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.23	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x733b…0268backed Yes	40c	750$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	+9.4wins	+0.11per pick	29cpaid	+38%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9b82…d6ebbacked Yes	67c	714.29$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.29	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+48.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…820cbacked No	70c	696$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.45	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	28cpaid	-65.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8a2…54c2backed Yes	31c	600$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$414	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	+4.1wins	+0.09per pick	27cpaid	+41%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb465…0d8dbacked Yes	40c	500$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	26cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2583…02ddbacked Yes	69c	500$347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+4.2wins	+0.18per pick	43cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3e16…5026backed Yes	48c	441.48$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.65	62	46.8%29 W · 33 L	+4.9wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7149…ea99backed No	56c	395.01$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.84	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9a6…588ebacked Yes	41c	379.32$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.8	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5957…3faabacked Yes	39c	374.82$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.11	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-3.5wins	-0.27per pick	42cpaid	-69.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	46c	338.95$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.2	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2320…b98bbacked Yes	80c	303.25$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.88	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	77cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a40…851abacked Yes	35c	300$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+2.2wins	+0.25per pick	20cpaid	+96.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8674…0d1ebacked No	11c	300$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e8…7b51backed No	7c	289.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.48	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.24per pick	26cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No	48c	279.36$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.87	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c90…5bacbacked No	71c	279.31$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.31	53	20.8%11 W · 42 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3581…7427backed Yes	29c	273.39$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.11	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf58b…51fdbacked No	50c	270$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.9	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes	49c	269$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.19	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked No	6c	267.04$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.84	29	10.3%3 W · 26 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5657…b56cbacked Yes	44c	245.37$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.08	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.23per pick	37cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes	35c	244.45$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.71	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	+168.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fda…8858backed No	68c	233.22$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.82	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4218…4814backed No	59c	229.32$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.3	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No	56c	216.84$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.63	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc81…4f06backed Yes	7c	209.58$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.91	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+2.2wins	+0.73per pick	27cpaid	+555.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x400c…38d3backed Yes	52c	206.95$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.88	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+93.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb2…a30cbacked No	15c	203.34$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.5	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	53c	200$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	167	40.7%68 W · 99 L	-10.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed No	55c	200$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.17per pick	40cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6dec…faa0backed Yes	28c	200$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	16cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	55c	200$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109	193	36.3%70 W · 123 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a5d…909abacked No	43c	199.99$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+41%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5739…b180backed Yes	37c	198$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.71	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No	52c	196$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.92	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa36c…968ebacked No	31c	194.97$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.39	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	29cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55c2…a8c7backed Yes	55c	173$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.85	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-3.3wins	-0.22per pick	35cpaid	-79.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x845a…5606backed Yes	57c	166.67$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.67	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4822…0de4backed No	59c	150$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.5	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf22b…7eabbacked Yes	38c	142.39$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.15	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c47…37e8backed No	18c	137.12$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.13	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa76c…9df3backed Yes	25c	111.8$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.98	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.8wins	+0.26per pick	45cpaid	+76%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed Yes	48c	105$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.6	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f33…914ebacked Yes	40c	102.62$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.01	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x173a…eb85backed No	57c	100$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.5wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e6d…76f5backed Yes	39c	100$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+263.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed No	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-3.5wins	-0.14per pick	31cpaid	+104%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0684…ba27backed Yes	70c	100$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7906…cfe0backed Yes	40c	100$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13c9…d473backed Yes	41c	100$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7a…4481backed Yes	56c	88.56$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.56	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-41%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	52c	80$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.6	212	40.6%86 W · 126 L	-9.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8144…8472backed Yes	55c	72$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.4	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6138…97a0backed No	72c	70$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	159	41.5%66 W · 93 L	+9.4wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe566…a792backed Yes	28c	68.58$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.38	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.72per pick	28cpaid	+257.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No	55c	65.6$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.13	81	34.6%28 W · 53 L	-7.0wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x78c5…f623backed No	22c	63.63$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.29	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No	60c	61.19$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.65	463	20.5%95 W · 368 L	-68.1wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes	52c	60$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.8	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20d1…c131backed Yes	33c	60$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.2	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No	37c	59.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.2	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0cf…4b66backed Yes	48c	59.99$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.19	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.20per pick	31cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaf9…6d7dbacked Yes	70c	57.99$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.4	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	71cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed No	59c	56.94$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.36	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf911…509cbacked No	57c	54$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.78	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No	57c	50$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	63	42.9%27 W · 36 L	-4.6wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbdcd…0fe6backed No	55c	50$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3484…a9fcbacked Yes	70c	50$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+11%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c6e…26cfbacked Yes	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa935…e865backed No	55c	50$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x588d…a246backed No	55c	50$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53f8…f76ebacked No	55c	50$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b57…5089backed Yes	35c	50$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.5	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6899…4161backed No	57c	50$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…6b2bbacked Yes	55c	43.33$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x576e…f8e0backed No	60c	40.75$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8004…cd61backed Yes	38c	37.5$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.3	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+4.5wins	+0.24per pick	40cpaid	+55.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x13ca…1b86backed Yes	58c	34.31$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.31	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.17per pick	28cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x645b…8730backed No	57c	30$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.1	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?this page
o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes won
o1 FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
o1 FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes won
o1 FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes won
o1 FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes won
o1 FDV above $700M one day after launch?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event