TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5739…b180

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
128
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: World Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 55 out of 100; worst IPO at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2540%10 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+125.9%+$44.03
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+34%+$68.2
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.85
Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+308.6%+$77.79
o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$13.25
o1 FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+170.2%+$124.71
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.25
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.54
Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$16.8
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$80.08
Nexus FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$7.27
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.8
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.43
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.22
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.41
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.26
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.31
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.41
Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.03
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.56
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+149.2%+$118.52
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.84
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.28
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.93
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.01
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$27.55
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.58
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.58
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.34
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.78
Will Boston Celtics advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7
Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$23.49
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.44
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$63.28
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+111.6%+$69.44
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+37.2%+$5.51
Will LaMelo Ball lead the NBA in Assists?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$14.93
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-27.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.26
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.88
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+127.4%+$28.57
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$19.24
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$15.08
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$16.59
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.44
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$18.78
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.24
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.16
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13
All 13 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-36.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.98
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.69
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.7
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.71
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$21.53
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.08
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$10.37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.74
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$40.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.21
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick28cpaid+89.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.34
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$425.68
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+376.1%+$126.24
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+645.5%+$134.13
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.27
Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$18.31
Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$19.14
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+126.8%+$12.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ferrari record the fastest lap at 2025 F1 Winter Testing?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+44.9%+$23.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$82.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google dip to $270 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25-1.29ºC in February 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.