MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00babcd2b9145194c517452f9f365fc47886e9a3e9a1b65e18263a405dcaf5bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Pittsburgh Pirates, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $631,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $736,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $631,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 196,870$94,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,060.26 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 99,983$52,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,991.96 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 78,999$36,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,765.19 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 59,710$32,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,466.49 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 29c | 34,572$9,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,931.81 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 33,306$17,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,685.55 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 19,150$7,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,835.67 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 18,092$10,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,714.66 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 16,768$8,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,216.15 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 14,770$7,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,089.6 | 277 | 53.1%147 W · 130 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 14,572$7,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,934.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 13,844$6,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,472.24 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 73c | 12,109$8,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,270.8 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 11,110$5,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,332.7 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…8ed1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 9,258$4,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,356.54 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 70c | 7,152$5,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.05 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 5,725$2,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,643.03 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 4,316$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.14 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 9c | 4,021$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.9 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.82 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 3,294$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.46 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 2,757$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.84 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 2,751$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.52 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 2,554$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.49 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Cincinnati Reds | 18c | 2,008$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.72 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 1,979$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.84 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 1,900$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.54 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 1,875$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.25 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 17c | 1,814$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.03 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 15c | 1,621$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.2 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…a85bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 7c | 1,567$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 1,511$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.06 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 1,407$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cincinnati Reds | 8c | 1,403$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Cincinnati Reds | 26c | 1,401$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.96 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 1,167$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.45 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336f…c31ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 1,160$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 26c | 1,153$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.48 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 1,074$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.55 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cincinnati Reds | 5c | 1,036$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 985.6$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.09 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 954.76$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.77 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 859.07$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.76 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 25c | 858.73$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.38 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 775.04$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.02 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Cincinnati Reds | 26c | 756.09$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.49 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 675.8$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.63 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cincinnati Reds | 26c | 674.19$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.09 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Cincinnati Reds | 4c | 628.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 626$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.86 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cincinnati Reds | 16c | 593.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 10c | 580.42$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…c0debacked Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 577.8$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.9 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 502.35$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.18 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 493.78$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.08 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 487.29$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.03 | 304 | 54.3%165 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 26c | 485.11$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.34 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 480.77$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.86 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 475.78$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.13 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 470$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.9 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Cincinnati Reds | 10c | 457.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 438.87$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.66 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 430.4$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.88 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 405.45$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.61 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x406d…5298backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 75c | 395.61$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 385.35$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.07 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4c…5574backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 382.45$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…ad5ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 365.97$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 352.03$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.05 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 350$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Cincinnati Reds | 23c | 347.48$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.54 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 345.4$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.14 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 342.49$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.07 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…ce35backed Cincinnati Reds | 7c | 340.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 340.65$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.85 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cincinnati Reds | 17c | 333.23$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 331.36$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.01 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Cincinnati Reds | 19c | 319.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.08 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 308.86$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.16 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 302.13$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.43 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 291.03$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.58 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 275.04$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.27 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…62c7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 75c | 255.12$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.04 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 254.61$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.27 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 18c | 231.47$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 228.38$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.47 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 220.03$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.41 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 70c | 219.38$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.91 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Cincinnati Reds | 11c | 215.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…10dcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 213.14$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.31 | 218 | 51.4%112 W · 106 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 210.67$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.57 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 207.45$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.65 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 206.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.47 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- NRFI: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.