TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Ferrari record the fastest lap at 2025 F1 Winter Testing?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,924
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,771

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,924 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 600 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes40c7,460$2,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,988.911020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-40.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Yes1c4,718$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.187733.8%26 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd0…eb9dbacked Yes46c1,283$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.49520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid+174.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No61c1,188$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.765442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes34c1,086$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.89329.4%3 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-63.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fd6…3b62backed Yes31c735.23$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked No68c587.52$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.52560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes36c495.45$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.061323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid+178.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc441…92eabacked Yes34c493.63$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.83425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-65.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes31c482.11$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.0812616.7%21 W · 105 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a8…1b38backed No58c408.19$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.16136.1%22 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f0…3213backed No59c404.23$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes39c398.6$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.59450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904f…50c6backed No52c386.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.2715922%35 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd045…8367backed Yes37c341.54$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-60.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f7a…c585backed Yes39c326.62$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.612520%5 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes33c299.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+837.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No65c288.78$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5120843.3%90 W · 118 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x542b…0d67backed Yes32c288.44$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes23c278.22$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.181050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf5b…b250backed Yes28c249.44$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes40c248.46$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.471816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2684…ef98backed Yes32c219.5$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08f4…7700backed Yes40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f8d…1df6backed Yes30c198.35$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+382.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed No56c194.12$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.822951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes29c184.27$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3470%0 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x789b…f64cbacked Yes44c183.91$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f0b…2305backed Yes44c174.6$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x797c…1c9cbacked No61c165$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ce…670abacked Yes46c162.79$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93b4…cbfdbacked No65c161.78$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8a9…21cebacked No61c161.08$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68b6…7544backed Yes39c155$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73d5…ddebbacked No69c154.59$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4305…1a22backed Yes39c149.5$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977b…bc74backed Yes41c145.58$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c2…5510backed No62c142$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99a7…2ff5backed No54c140.55$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde26…0972backed No58c137.29$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…1a5ebacked Yes41c137.07$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x060a…aaaabacked Yes39c136$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4142…4fb0backed Yes40c134.92$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd95…c206backed Yes52c134.31$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc84…ae4cbacked Yes37c133.17$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c8d…c3c1backed Yes42c129.53$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x541f…6970backed Yes32c129.04$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25da…413ebacked Yes43c121.5$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.07250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf136…60adbacked Yes42c120.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd95f…a6b0backed Yes50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1297…d0d0backed Yes42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.430%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7533…2772backed Yes40c116.95$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe508…1bd4backed Yes43c116.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x526d…b680backed Yes45c115.15$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc376…cf18backed Yes41c113.53$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x260d…9679backed No74c112.21$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.54616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-77.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5494…d234backed Yes41c111.54$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8182…1a71backed Yes45c111.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No66c111.36$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.413100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe561…5bfcbacked Yes42c109.2$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf381…182dbacked No60c108.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9528…8c40backed Yes46c108.87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30e4…7d16backed Yes36c106$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe908…e731backed No64c106$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4001…89bcbacked Yes42c105.21$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50c7…5dbfbacked Yes35c105.11$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7316…ff32backed Yes43c103.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8750…9180backed Yes38c103.62$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe6d…e4a5backed No59c103.61$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c29…baf7backed No61c102$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafdc…b8fbbacked No60c101.27$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca9b…4638backed Yes42c100.12$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fef…09eebacked No60c100.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x304a…eacfbacked Yes46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4640%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcac7…180bbacked No61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e4e…6811backed Yes43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff2f…37f7backed Yes41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddcd…39ebbacked Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2612…a0c9backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd40b…9bd0backed No58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…c4e0backed No59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafbd…432dbacked Yes38c99.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes47c99.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb490…4fdfbacked No64c99.75$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1fb…482bbacked No62c99.1$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed No51c98.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.331421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-54%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076a…0b21backed Yes39c97.03$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb61…6c1bbacked Yes40c95.85$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0934…f376backed No58c95$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.854566.7%30 W · 15 L+5.7wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+16.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb0a…01b8backed No59c94.42$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd84f…fc1fbacked No60c93.9$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5143…7afbbacked No58c93.86$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x100e…add1backed Yes34c93.76$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5638…224dbacked No66c92$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.28540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xece2…e68cbacked No60c90.35$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa404…b4bfbacked No67c90.31$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c9a…62f5backed Yes37c90.3$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.49728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa58f…6b52backed Yes40c90$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e7a…e6e9backed No61c90$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd785…334cbacked No58c89.53$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.