Commodities · resolved market

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdace7a082bc8fdcf230e2a450cfe64f0e2f2595f69b0c95aee580cbc9a397411

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: May 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $52,418
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $55,037

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,418 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Commodities
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9aea…b686backed Yes	66c	6,253$4,122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,131.49	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4060…3ec3backed Yes	73c	5,139$3,733 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,405.49	292	64%187 W · 105 L	+47.3wins	+0.16per pick	48cpaid	+41.7%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x5226…8554backed No	30c	3,130$945 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$944.9	62	67.7%42 W · 20 L	+13.6wins	+0.22per pick	46cpaid	+51.6%equal weight	67+0.16 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	72c	2,382$1,725 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$656.57	930	40.3%375 W · 555 L	-67.5wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No	33c	1,817$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$607.86	353	34%120 W · 233 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed No	12c	1,683$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.66	160	50.6%81 W · 79 L	+13.7wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	2c	1,465$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.68	1,024	9.1%93 W · 931 L	-25.7wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd4…c680backed No	22c	1,328$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.39	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x74bb…3b52backed No	24c	1,150$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.34	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-59.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61b…9d74backed Yes	59c	866.7$509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$357.71	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No	23c	693.96$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161	273	22%60 W · 213 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7971…8dd0backed No	40c	675.25$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	25	44%11 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3464…8112backed No	39c	614.28$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.14	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.7wins	-0.25per pick	43cpaid	-67%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed No	32c	600$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.14	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f05…8b8bbacked Yes	75c	586$437 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.28	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	65cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed No	23c	555.2$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.98	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4a2…6fc8backed No	40c	500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.21per pick	41cpaid	-62.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67d3…96cbbacked No	40c	500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.6wins	-0.24per pick	42cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd88…4037backed Yes	58c	488.53$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.48	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-4.3wins	-0.16per pick	53cpaid	-42%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes	74c	468$346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.16	35	17.1%6 W · 29 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa540…0b43backed Yes	75c	393.15$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.9	1,265	24.5%310 W · 955 L	-56.9wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d81…259bbacked Yes	58c	351.81$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.76	35	65.7%23 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes	58c	351.81$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.76	56	62.5%35 W · 21 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	66cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1563…c575backed No	39c	332.56$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ee8…801bbacked Yes	64c	320.85$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.87	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	38c	316.51$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.96	308	39.6%122 W · 186 L	-17.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	72c	313.25$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.22	184	40.2%74 W · 110 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c12…748fbacked Yes	70c	264.8$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.16	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x64a3…450abacked No	36c	258.95$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.25	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-3.9wins	-0.26per pick	46cpaid	-70.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	25c	252$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.59	1,045	34.6%362 W · 683 L	-93.1wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x62e8…c7f6backed No	40c	250.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	74	44.6%33 W · 41 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6655…fca6backed No	30c	232.94$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No	39c	205.45$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.89	83	53%44 W · 39 L	+4.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b69…42cfbacked No	26c	200$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.45	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b02…7939backed No	38c	200$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.6	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-2.7wins	-0.19per pick	55cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5002…ea11backed No	20c	200$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5ad…39c6backed Yes	67c	199.99$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.4	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3da6…9ac4backed Yes	75c	197.9$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.29	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb042…14f3backed No	23c	175$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.73	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-3.9wins	-0.19per pick	47cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8444…1cf9backed Yes	57c	170.12$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.9	83	39.8%33 W · 50 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed No	19c	164.76$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.91	233	23.6%55 W · 178 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked No	26c	155.64$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	51	54.9%28 W · 23 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No	37c	151.56$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.56	69	37.7%26 W · 43 L	-6.5wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	+289%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4435…786fbacked Yes	72c	150$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.6	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9976…59acbacked No	27c	148.71$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.49	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed Yes	64c	140$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.6	57	31.6%18 W · 39 L	-5.3wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e34…9434backed No	29c	139.05$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.02	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.8wins	-0.14per pick	52cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa656…2c73backed Yes	73c	135.79$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.43	20	55%11 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	64cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No	44c	130$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.2	107	39.3%42 W · 65 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No	23c	129.8$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.98	390	34.4%134 W · 256 L	-33.8wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes	57c	123.54$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.12	154	46.8%72 W · 82 L	+17.9wins	+0.12per pick	35cpaid	+69.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7f33…914ebacked Yes	72c	120.23$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.12	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+154.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ab…b16ebacked No	40c	101.59$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.64	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85b8…c84dbacked Yes	62c	101.54$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.48	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+1.9wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+53.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x173a…eb85backed No	32c	100$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9730…6245backed No	42c	100$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.29per pick	49cpaid	-73%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d73…216bbacked Yes	76c	100$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.95	148	49.3%73 W · 75 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Yes	73c	100$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.1	75	32%24 W · 51 L	-11.1wins	-0.15per pick	47cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x22a4…13e5backed No	32c	99.99$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.4	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-6.6wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0xbb38…ae5fbacked No	39c	98.39$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.82	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.7wins	-0.16per pick	51cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed Yes	67c	92.6$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.49	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf22b…7eabbacked No	26c	88.99$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.81	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2134…7ddcbacked Yes	74c	86.92$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.21	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	72cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x628a…6895backed Yes	58c	80$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.6	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+72.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc426…ac6ebacked Yes	62c	77.83$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.58	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+61.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b2…7c84backed No	26c	75$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.75	53	37.7%20 W · 33 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes	77c	70$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.93	162	76.5%124 W · 38 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	73cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2251…25a0backed No	37c	66.76$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.83	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9976…8b3dbacked Yes	56c	58.69$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.54	64	31.3%20 W · 44 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Yes	73c	52.32$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.28	30	80%24 W · 6 L	+6.7wins	+0.22per pick	58cpaid	+39.4%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x38ae…aa9bbacked No	36c	51.6$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.32	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0899…0507backed No	32c	51.6$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.51	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d0a…50adbacked Yes	74c	51$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.31	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+2.3wins	+0.26per pick	63cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd00…c7eabacked Yes	74c	50.12$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.17	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x938e…2ee3backed Yes	74c	50.02$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.16	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a74…2cc6backed No	42c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-2.1wins	-0.42per pick	62cpaid	-74.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x304b…a619backed No	38c	50$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.75	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8853…6d22backed No	38c	50$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.75	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa810…854dbacked No	42c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.31per pick	47cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6ef…fe3abacked No	37c	50$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-4.2wins	-0.35per pick	43cpaid	-82.6%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0xc534…b734backed No	36c	50$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.2	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc924…4805backed No	23c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.65	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb916…906fbacked No	22c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.85	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdabd…ed1cbacked No	42c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-53%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8709…930dbacked No	26c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81a0…d825backed No	47c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed No	23c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	131	31.3%41 W · 90 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x59d4…b745backed No	42c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb965…01d8backed No	37c	50$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9592…a8fdbacked No	22c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.85	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-30%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7274…1475backed No	42c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9781…8dcabacked No	26c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefd1…8c26backed Yes	68c	50$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.85	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+84.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44aa…d1d5backed Yes	66c	49.99$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.1	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	32cpaid	-63%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf76a…b506backed No	26c	48.88$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.71	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf30…f208backed Yes	74c	44.12$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.6	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4c…93eebacked Yes	61c	40$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.76	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e63…134fbacked No	42c	35.95$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.1	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-4.5wins	-0.32per pick	47cpaid	-65.6%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5739…b180backed Yes	68c	32$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.37	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed No	36c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	111	33.3%37 W · 74 L	-8.5wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-31%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?this page
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?Yes won
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?No won
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in May?No won
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in May?No won
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in May?No won
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in May?No won
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.80 in May?No won
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.00 in May?No won
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.20 in May?No won
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in May?No won
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 in May?No won
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?No won
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 in May?No won
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in May?No won
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event