MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f2a90b1ee62cd7d818f84a4593a6132a3f11b2327ef463b5157275b13f52799
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Boston Red Sox, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $195,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $204,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Houston Astros | 44c | 53,407$23,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,941.73 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 21,427$9,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,126.03 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 20,192$11,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,409.35 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 15,285$7,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,664.09 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 8,697$4,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,869.06 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Houston Astros | 43c | 7,687$3,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,389.84 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…d41cbacked Boston Red Sox | 61c | 6,437$3,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,905.62 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Boston Red Sox | 45c | 6,345$2,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,841.73 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Houston Astros | 42c | 5,786$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,355.99 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…3165backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 5,559$3,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,112.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Houston Astros | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.98 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Houston Astros | 66c | 3,739$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.19 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 3,659$2,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,122.14 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 3,333$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.79 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 3,025$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.09 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Houston Astros | 50c | 2,732$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.69 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Houston Astros | 43c | 2,626$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.81 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Houston Astros | 70c | 2,416$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.27 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Boston Red Sox | 40c | 2,370$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.36 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 2,319$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.22 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 2,290$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.4 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 2,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.95 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 42c | 1,934$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.52 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa701…86a3backed Boston Red Sox | 6c | 1,918$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.27 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Houston Astros | 56c | 1,770$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.52 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed Houston Astros | 32c | 1,515$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.97 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 68c | 1,383$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.22 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 1,315$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Houston Astros | 43c | 1,245$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.69 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 43c | 1,207$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.71 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 1,204$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.37 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.92 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Houston Astros | 43c | 1,123$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.12 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 1,098$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.98 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Houston Astros | 79c | 1,090$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.11 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,074$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.18 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 1,061$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.14 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Boston Red Sox | 1c | 1,003$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 982.08$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.83 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Houston Astros | 50c | 962.11$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.44 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 959.33$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.24 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Houston Astros | 52c | 919.69$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.6 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21df…fdbcbacked Boston Red Sox | 67c | 877.79$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8b…d6e6backed Houston Astros | 43c | 874.84$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.66 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 840.34$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.4 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…242dbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 835.2$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 52c | 834.66$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.09 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Houston Astros | 52c | 830.13$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.06 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Boston Red Sox | 32c | 794.87$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.14 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 792.44$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.62 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…267ebacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 696.12$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 684.86$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.22 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 638.66$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.42 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Boston Red Sox | 2c | 628.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Boston Red Sox | 19c | 609.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.97 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb03b…a5dfbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 601.95$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Houston Astros | 49c | 594$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.18 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Houston Astros | 43c | 561.51$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.06 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…de36backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 538.43$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.06 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.24per pick | 63cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 528.92$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.89 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Houston Astros | 52c | 517.57$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.06 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 502.08$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.39 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 491.86$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.46 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Houston Astros | 42c | 459.62$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.58 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Houston Astros | 74c | 408.44$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.05 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Houston Astros | 43c | 386.32$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.2 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Houston Astros | 43c | 386.32$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.25 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 369.15$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.5 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 365.95$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.17 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 355.71$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.18 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Houston Astros | 52c | 354$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.18 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Boston Red Sox | 24c | 348.26$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.59 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 344.99$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.84 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Houston Astros | 43c | 344.24$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.54 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Houston Astros | 43c | 336.91$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.04 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Houston Astros | 47c | 333.4$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.17 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Houston Astros | 36c | 323.04$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.86 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 321.49$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.25 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Boston Red Sox | 36c | 319.11$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.43 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 315.37$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.91 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 308.58$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.99 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Houston Astros | 65c | 307.79$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.07 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 304.63$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.82 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 299.98$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…fb90backed Houston Astros | 35c | 299.29$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.78 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Boston Red Sox | 15c | 277.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Houston Astros | 44c | 263.56$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.6 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Boston Red Sox | 32c | 253.47$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.48 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 252.1$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.22 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Houston Astros | 45c | 236.92$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.3 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Boston Red Sox | 46c | 227.54$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.38 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Houston Astros | 54c | 221.65$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.17 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5788…fb06backed Houston Astros | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Boston Red Sox | 30c | 219.15$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.76 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 215.8$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.16 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…b180backed Houston Astros | 35c | 212.14$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Houston Astros | 55c | 212.11$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Over won
- NRFI: Boston Red Sox vs. Houston AstrosNo won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.