MLB · resolved market

Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49072918c2b7ab393cd556ce39abee846f9c43cb4797dd212e97a781f3426355

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $51,384
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $51,546

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,384 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xadfa…324ebacked Under	54c	13,000$7,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,019.96	151	48.3%73 W · 78 L	-5.4wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over	45c	5,907$2,659 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,248.26	1,041	50.1%522 W · 519 L	+17.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda0f…d41cbacked Over	61c	5,061$3,098 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,962.96	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under	55c	3,509$1,930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,929.75	1,922	53.4%1,027 W · 895 L	+28.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over	45c	3,393$1,527 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,866.19	78	39.7%31 W · 47 L	-6.0wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over	44c	2,441$1,074 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,367.21	306	47.4%145 W · 161 L	-10.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over	44c	1,762$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$982.13	1,797	50.4%906 W · 891 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	45c	1,191$532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$658.77	6,999	50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	43c	904.59$389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$515.16	474	47.3%224 W · 250 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Under	23c	850.31$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.13	113	31.9%36 W · 77 L	-7.2wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	37c	784.62$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.47	2,389	43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2002…de36backed Over	65c	753.81$489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264.33	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+2.0wins	+0.24per pick	63cpaid	+39.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under	55c	731.04$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404.58	393	51.9%204 W · 189 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over	50c	729.74$363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$366.86	218	47.7%104 W · 114 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	47c	726.53$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.67	12,328	46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L	-66.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	54c	696.38$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.05	1,153	49.2%567 W · 586 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under	56c	639.53$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.14	1,358	50.8%690 W · 668 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under	55c	636.95$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.32	274	49.3%135 W · 139 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69c2…40cfbacked Over	54c	633.78$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.42	182	39.6%72 W · 110 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	36c	536.9$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.35	10,979	51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L	+139.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Over	48c	519.99$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.4	225	48.4%109 W · 116 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over	46c	498.71$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.3	1,215	47.6%578 W · 637 L	-19.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over	46c	489.27$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264.21	1,269	51.1%648 W · 621 L	+23.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over	46c	489.01$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264.07	1,043	49%511 W · 532 L	+3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	36c	479.4$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.58	9,819	46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L	+39.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	43c	427.26$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.54	5,471	50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	60c	421.15$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.37	6,123	55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L	+346.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcf4…66bbbacked Under	56c	394.66$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.01	62	53.2%33 W · 29 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Over	45c	386.8$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.74	591	50.3%297 W · 294 L	+9.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae51…0d08backed Under	28c	382.72$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.16	364	40.1%146 W · 218 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over	46c	373.37$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.62	1,029	51.2%527 W · 502 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed Under	3c	335.22$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.06	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	6cpaid	+93.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under	50c	292.07$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.03	410	51.7%212 W · 198 L	+14.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under	55c	265.36$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.95	1,708	49.9%852 W · 856 L	-17.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under	55c	247.67$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.22	443	48.5%215 W · 228 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Over	46c	227.79$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.01	164	53%87 W · 77 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	48c	206.77$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.55	1,355	49.8%675 W · 680 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under	54c	200$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	116	47.4%55 W · 61 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Under	51c	193.15$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.51	185	53%98 W · 87 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under	55c	176.91$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.3	183	45.4%83 W · 100 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under	52c	173.39$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.16	1,435	50%717 W · 718 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0efb…016cbacked Under	57c	170.91$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.42	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-2.4wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under	57c	168.34$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.4	243	48.1%117 W · 126 L	-8.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under	37c	161.79$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.39	1,269	47.4%602 W · 667 L	-31.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over	68c	161$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.07	5,234	56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L	+130.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over	59c	151.26$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.69	1,194	29%346 W · 848 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under	43c	145.99$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.62	137	42.3%58 W · 79 L	-7.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Under	57c	143.57$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.83	42	31%13 W · 29 L	-6.8wins	-0.16per pick	47cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Under	57c	143.57$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.83	82	46.3%38 W · 44 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under	57c	140.03$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.82	452	46.2%209 W · 243 L	-18.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under	57c	140.03$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.82	286	46.2%132 W · 154 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Over	71c	138.39$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.13	133	61.7%82 W · 51 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under	16c	126.31$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.04	477	45.7%218 W · 259 L	+7.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under	56c	123.76$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.31	66	47%31 W · 35 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	16c	121.55$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.45	1,728	50.4%871 W · 857 L	+57.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under	50c	114.46$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.23	722	47.6%344 W · 378 L	-12.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over	45c	101.76$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.97	144	42.4%61 W · 83 L	-9.9wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	117	52.1%61 W · 56 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	272	48.5%132 W · 140 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cc0…1912backed Under	55c	88.45$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.65	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-3.1wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	+76.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x07b9…3efebacked Under	56c	86.93$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.68	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under	46c	84.58$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.22	667	49.3%329 W · 338 L	-22.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over	45c	68.05$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.43	750	49.7%373 W · 377 L	+7.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over	46c	63.1$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.08	465	57.2%266 W · 199 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under	50c	60.63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.31	676	53.1%359 W · 317 L	+29.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over	52c	52.4$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.29	60	66.7%40 W · 20 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	68cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under	28c	44$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.32	499	42.9%214 W · 285 L	-31.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6caa…4fb3backed Over	45c	42.98$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.64	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a6c…e9a0backed Over	45c	42.98$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.64	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under	57c	42.73$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.36	294	50.7%149 W · 145 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under	29c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.52	558	47.7%266 W · 292 L	-11.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5422backed Over	46c	31.55$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	58	51.7%30 W · 28 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under	56c	31.15$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.44	64	40.6%26 W · 38 L	-5.7wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under	55c	31.13$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.05	411	41.4%170 W · 241 L	-21.0wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	46c	31.12$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.8	323	48.9%158 W · 165 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf17e…c12ebacked Over	46c	30.06$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.23	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ca…e04dbacked Under	54c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.2	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	-3.8wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under	55c	29.2$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.06	1,630	55.2%899 W · 731 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f68…4132backed Over	51c	28.54$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.98	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbee…30b9backed Under	50c	23.28$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.64	74	51.4%38 W · 36 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under	55c	21.23$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.68	126	55.6%70 W · 56 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8031…c84cbacked Under	55c	19.93$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.96	20	75%15 W · 5 L	+3.2wins	+0.16per pick	59cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e7d…1f1abacked Under	56c	18.01$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.09	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd650…8d74backed Over	69c	14.72$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.56	25	56%14 W · 11 L	-3.3wins	-0.13per pick	69cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5this page
Boston Red Sox vs. Houston AstrosHouston Astros won
Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5Under won
Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Over won
Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Over won
NRFI: Boston Red Sox vs. Houston AstrosNo won
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Houston Astros won
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event