Movies · resolved market
Will "The Addams Family" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11290f42aa17c6544e1a1d1546f6c6cfaee8fc9447c9ba2c8a929e3e993c45c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf49d…7e5bbacked Yes | 79c | 5,554$4,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,373.77 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -6.9wins | -0.33per pick | 57cpaid | -60%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfaed…aa93backed No | 33c | 4,615$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,111.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +121.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75d4…4027backed Yes | 62c | 3,952$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,468.45 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x643f…e306backed No | 26c | 3,147$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,315.81 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -37%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 55c | 1,437$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.22 | 237 | 51.9%123 W · 114 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 10c | 1,150$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5761…0c28backed No | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…7181backed Yes | 72c | 969$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.68 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66cb…3dd2backed No | 27c | 943.84$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.58 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +12.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 72c | 924.22$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.43 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 34c | 903.83$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.1 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed No | 28c | 844$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.68 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77e5…ec41backed No | 26c | 800$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…891fbacked No | 27c | 665$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.45 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0733…cd5abacked Yes | 73c | 665$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.45 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01be…3855backed Yes | 4c | 600$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…d79fbacked Yes | 4c | 600$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…cd55backed No | 28c | 597$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.84 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 512.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…a73cbacked Yes | 69c | 479$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.51 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 24c | 458.01$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.09 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8954…2d3abacked Yes | 9c | 450.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 33c | 446.8$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.18 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked No | 18c | 409.64$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.41 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 4c | 393.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…175bbacked No | 40c | 379.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.98 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefaa…8716backed Yes | 7c | 331.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed No | 22c | 318.65$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.69 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…20b0backed Yes | 78c | 314.04$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…44ffbacked Yes | 72c | 309$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.48 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ec…2c47backed Yes | 59c | 308.01$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa1…d4c8backed Yes | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 23c | 288$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.08 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 72c | 226.65$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.32 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed No | 16c | 210$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.37 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b9…0aaebacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 32c | 200$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.18 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…cca3backed Yes | 11c | 199.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 45c | 172.23$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…ec98backed Yes | 72c | 163$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.36 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 78c | 157.19$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.59 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…b5cebacked No | 31c | 144$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.36 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 45c | 140$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.51 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 25c | 138.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.3 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…ec31backed No | 68c | 118.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…f19dbacked No | 51c | 105.34$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38b6…a5e9backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked Yes | 68c | 99.77$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.24 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae85…a62ebacked No | 15c | 96.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Yes | 80c | 79.15$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 18c | 72.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 27c | 65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 142 | 40.1%57 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…662dbacked No | 16c | 65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 50c | 62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed Yes | 77c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e0…69e3backed Yes | 80c | 60$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.47per pick | 67cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…e3cabacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…dc73backed Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0a…9cb0backed No | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +323%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 56c | 43.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed Yes | 73c | 43.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 34c | 42.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked No | 37c | 37.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed Yes | 69c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 36c | 33.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…cd2dbacked Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b6…90d3backed Yes | 55c | 25.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28cd…d99abacked No | 45c | 24.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…3e31backed Yes | 72c | 23.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…de6bbacked Yes | 69c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The Addams Family" be the top global Netflix movie this week?this page
- Will "KPop Demon Hunters" be the top global Netflix movie this week?No won
- Will "Prometheus" be the top global Netflix movie this week?No won
- Will "Tyler Perry's Joe's College Road Trip" be the top global Netflix movie this week?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.