South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-02-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf77c27919433746aa6ff6759e36e8455458359f41a1f0dc75e6993736120091e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 6c | 9,405$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,879.85 | 5,821 | 45.4%2,642 W · 3,179 L | +97.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Yes | 37c | 3,143$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.49 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 63c | 1,426$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.83 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd137…ceacbacked No | 56c | 1,378$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +83%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c9…af45backed No | 56c | 1,284$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +489.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…c83bbacked Yes | 44c | 1,232$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x591c…390dbacked Yes | 44c | 1,231$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…d9fcbacked Yes | 14c | 1,114$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef3c…ca4fbacked Yes | 15c | 942$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 63c | 937.85$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.75 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5829…e46bbacked Yes | 15c | 917$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +158.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab21…4b87backed Yes | 25c | 870$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed No | 75c | 870$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -48%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 39c | 782.98$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.52 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…8bf6backed No | 68c | 769$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa347…2a40backed Yes | 32c | 712$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +220.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed No | 64c | 668.75$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.75 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaffd…b072backed Yes | 12c | 645$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c5…2dacbacked Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…0d60backed Yes | 12c | 589$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…644ebacked Yes | 12c | 571$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2b…a065backed No | 68c | 568$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…f9d4backed Yes | 16c | 539$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed No | 67c | 529.48$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.79 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…bd84backed Yes | 19c | 525$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…24f0backed Yes | 44c | 522$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 64c | 504.93$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.6 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…f545backed Yes | 19c | 438$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…0176backed Yes | 16c | 429$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 37c | 426.15$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.68 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f81…cc16backed Yes | 6c | 367.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb50c…8c30backed No | 56c | 323$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 21c | 267.63$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203f…f7a5backed Yes | 12c | 227$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 61c | 219.83$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.46 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 216.52$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.96 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c3…9cefbacked Yes | 12c | 213$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80d…b42bbacked No | 73c | 210$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8727…83d7backed Yes | 12c | 199$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 34c | 198.57$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.94 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 28c | 186.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 39cpaid | -85%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 67c | 173.09$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.6 | 1,362 | 49.8%678 W · 684 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 32c | 165.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 92 | 29.3%27 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 37c | 141.74$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 34c | 93.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1,557 | 45.1%702 W · 855 L | +19.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 17c | 92.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 278 | 42.4%118 W · 160 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0733…cd5abacked Yes | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 34c | 72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d04…131dbacked Yes | 27c | 68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d22…da8bbacked Yes | 27c | 67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 37c | 56.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 38c | 55.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 61c | 51.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 3,446 | 51.4%1,771 W · 1,675 L | +21.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4901…8832backed Yes | 27c | 49.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…96a4backed Yes | 36c | 44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 34c | 42.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 88 | 29.5%26 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f8…f40ebacked Yes | 36c | 35.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…f15fbacked No | 68c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 32c | 31.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 2,346 | 51.4%1,207 W · 1,139 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b89…87babacked Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…4052backed Yes | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 50c | 21.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed No | 65c | 18.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1,678 | 50.8%853 W · 825 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe15c…19d4backed No | 73c | 14.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 76c | 14.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-02-22?this page
- Will FC Juárez win on 2026-02-22?No won
- Will Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.