Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3191a431005ad40e5844f648957387b52d0a181ba566e73b8fb67b4aa11b3e09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bb6…6d5fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,252$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed Yes | 15c | 1,098$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d93…7f30backed Yes | 16c | 1,088$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c90…17fbbacked Yes | 15c | 709$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked Yes | 15c | 695$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…e7d3backed Yes | 12c | 672$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 627.29$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.76 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47eb…8195backed Yes | 12c | 608$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed Yes | 17c | 536$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…56e8backed Yes | 14c | 514$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes | 13c | 503$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 21cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…c83bbacked Yes | 12c | 488$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d42…17a6backed Yes | 26c | 480$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 80c | 479.83$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.39 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ae…bb88backed Yes | 14c | 470$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997f…b3c2backed Yes | 13c | 442$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…b4eebacked Yes | 14c | 415$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb593…28eabacked Yes | 17c | 406$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +194.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 72c | 347$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.16 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76fd…e8c4backed Yes | 14c | 344$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7086…f376backed Yes | 15c | 273$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b4…3258backed Yes | 12c | 270$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f8…6c22backed Yes | 15c | 259$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c2…1be5backed Yes | 15c | 259$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa80…f251backed Yes | 39c | 255.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282e…3eaabacked Yes | 17c | 210$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…9134backed Yes | 13c | 209$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 10c | 207.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…8cc1backed Yes | 14c | 194$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d5…1caebacked Yes | 17c | 165$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…9d41backed Yes | 17c | 137$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e7…4a70backed Yes | 16c | 129$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0609…b093backed Yes | 32c | 110.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…d0a8backed Yes | 14c | 105$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x926a…3b1ebacked Yes | 12c | 104$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Yes | 17c | 100.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes | 19c | 88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Yes | 19c | 85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 19c | 57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7903…df88backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 50c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x98bc…a1dabacked Yes | 36c | 41.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 69c | 38.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 77c | 23.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Aberdeen FC win on 2026-02-04?No won
- Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.