Middle East · resolved market
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda882673997b5f279b79be0b406be449f511508bf3a22cea0294d0028a4b58c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,291 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72fa…5e4ebacked No | 5c | 1,928$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.38 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 73c | 1,510$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.26 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…d0a8backed No | 26c | 1,484$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.84 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a76…53debacked Yes | 75c | 1,391$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.22 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 24c | 1,354$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.2 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…8bf6backed Yes | 65c | 1,290$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…3adcbacked Yes | 68c | 821$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc94…efd5backed No | 32c | 821$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…0c57backed Yes | 74c | 746$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +182.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…a152backed Yes | 74c | 738$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.88 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5d…5f6abacked No | 35c | 675$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9d…8201backed Yes | 65c | 639.19$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.27 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +15.3wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…4d9abacked No | 35c | 615$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.25 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 29c | 538.83$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.63 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 68c | 448.49$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.03 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78bd…300dbacked No | 25c | 406$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.18 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 30c | 394.85$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.15 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41dd…6e71backed No | 35c | 374.35$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7585…7be2backed Yes | 65c | 316.85$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb18…57ecbacked No | 33c | 301.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4518…1cacbacked Yes | 74c | 296.65$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.3 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 33c | 267.12$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.57 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…a6e6backed Yes | 69c | 266.83$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 58c | 227.84$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.39 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 21c | 204.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…81c9backed No | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 22c | 199.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -23.0wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 73c | 142.77$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 19c | 121.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf756…d3a9backed No | 27c | 118$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90cf…5914backed No | 26c | 106$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf431…adacbacked No | 26c | 105$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 27c | 102.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 58c | 102.02$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x937f…2ca0backed No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35c…dc38backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7622…3aeabacked No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb776…d112backed No | 25c | 98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e8…d1abbacked No | 26c | 95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed63…e1c6backed No | 32c | 94.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 317 | 28.7%91 W · 226 L | -35.7wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 39c | 72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…25f1backed No | 29c | 69.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed No | 26c | 69.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 200 | 35.5%71 W · 129 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed Yes | 57c | 66.84$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 140 | 36.4%51 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked No | 39c | 66.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x653b…c68ebacked No | 33c | 60.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…eb72backed No | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…ba17backed Yes | 74c | 52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27e…cc07backed Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb2…7f19backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c14…2f42backed Yes | 75c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…8ae2backed Yes | 73c | 43.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…5e87backed No | 35c | 43.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 26c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…aa33backed Yes | 77c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 360 | 35.3%127 W · 233 L | -30.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd482…355dbacked Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b332backed Yes | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d50…a4c1backed Yes | 74c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 74c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25c…6ff9backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf0…9180backed Yes | 74c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x763b…5fe4backed No | 27c | 39.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 65c | 39.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fd…2b15backed Yes | 74c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…d97ebacked Yes | 74c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 68c | 37.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…eb47backed No | 32c | 35.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5e…7696backed Yes | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 32c | 34.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 247 | 59.1%146 W · 101 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198d…4be3backed Yes | 74c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda15…10d8backed Yes | 71c | 28.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…4086backed Yes | 77c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…c0a8backed Yes | 73c | 25.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982b…85a5backed Yes | 74c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…fb3abacked Yes | 74c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…5a8abacked Yes | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…4916backed Yes | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa675…ad46backed Yes | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bb…6736backed Yes | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 67c | 20.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe356…63bcbacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…ca08backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8259…a170backed Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd182…941ebacked Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…0501backed Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6c…ee14backed Yes | 74c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf666…d8e7backed Yes | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3b…4309backed Yes | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…afbabacked Yes | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…6daabacked Yes | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4d…ea81backed Yes | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 20?this page
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 17?No won
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 18?Yes won
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 19?Yes won
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 21?No won
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 23?No won
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 24?No won
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.