Movies · resolved market
Will "Sentimental Value" win in the Non-English Language Film category at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaba4b5fbd25560a47648f6bc30e2bd30d629c494edd2dc6eb9afb7dd6ea3e58e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x766f…9e74backed Yes | 71c | 883.16$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.4 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked No | 18c | 727$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.86 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed No | 16c | 688$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.08 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91d…91fdbacked No | 26c | 558$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e39…fc4cbacked No | 19c | 557.2$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…9134backed No | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.33per pick | 38cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…5558backed Yes | 74c | 472$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.72 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…d1bebacked No | 18c | 456$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 4c | 411.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…7914backed No | 23c | 375$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3087…f8fbbacked Yes | 77c | 375$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 39cpaid | +153.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 9c | 303.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0285…59d6backed Yes | 76c | 301$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…1b67backed No | 24c | 301$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabeb…7a78backed Yes | 72c | 244$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc0…4942backed No | 28c | 244$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18fa…3730backed Yes | 76c | 227$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…d0a8backed No | 24c | 227$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x647e…88c8backed Yes | 74c | 225$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2950…ffeabacked No | 26c | 225$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed No | 30c | 224.32$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 7c | 188.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…b75ebacked No | 26c | 161$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 10c | 136.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…bacbbacked Yes | 74c | 127$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed Yes | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…916fbacked No | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb289…9403backed No | 27c | 113$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…e4a9backed No | 19c | 112$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 13c | 104.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 35c | 94.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…d78ebacked No | 24c | 81.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…7da2backed Yes | 70c | 77.35$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1b…c826backed Yes | 80c | 69.47$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8a…96f6backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Yes | 78c | 29.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked Yes | 75c | 27.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed Yes | 78c | 24.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Sentimental Value" win in the Non-English Language Film category at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?this page
- Will "La Grazia" win in the Non-English Language Film category at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No won
- Will "No Other Choice" win in the Non-English Language Film category at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No won
- Will "Rental Family" win in the Non-English Language Film category at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No won
- Will "Sirāt" win in the Non-English Language Film category at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No won
- Will "The Secret Agent" win in the Non-English Language Film category at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.