World Politics · resolved market
Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5462ac83b5eb0b7d8aeb8d4ce99c05a49cc92dd24a667d60eb911ff96cccfc8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6519…611bbacked Yes | 37c | 5,826$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…205cbacked Yes | 79c | 5,614$4,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.68 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Yes | 28c | 5,413$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,877.87 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a7…9ea8backed Yes | 72c | 4,904$3,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 33cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…fe19backed No | 75c | 3,242$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.11 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,178$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.92 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7664…2e50backed No | 74c | 1,177$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.77 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…b4eebacked Yes | 26c | 1,167$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 75c | 1,154$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.26 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed No | 27c | 1,117$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +18.2wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2a66…a177backed No | 1c | 1,115$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb6…cfe8backed No | 78c | 1,104$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.12 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 23c | 1,043$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +28.4wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 53c | 1,023$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.63 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 22c | 1,003$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.4 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…a220backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe27…9623backed Yes | 22c | 924$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…162abacked No | 74c | 833$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.42 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 63c | 821.97$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.63 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169a…55e4backed Yes | 41c | 810$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2950…ffeabacked No | 59c | 810$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…1796backed No | 74c | 790$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8132…a491backed No | 78c | 788$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…6562backed No | 74c | 776$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.24 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa80…3aa0backed Yes | 31c | 765.78$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.39 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d5…1caebacked Yes | 26c | 731$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.94 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…c686backed Yes | 31c | 649.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed No | 74c | 600$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 66c | 513.8$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.76 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5861…d9a6backed No | 80c | 506.85$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Yes | 22c | 501.94$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb993…6e3abacked Yes | 13c | 501$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…8191backed No | 78c | 487$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.86 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea3…de0cbacked Yes | 27c | 447.34$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…fdf9backed Yes | 24c | 417.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.01 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…f66fbacked No | 20c | 411.81$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.26 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.30per pick | 11cpaid | +459.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 24c | 407.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.53 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb03f…c592backed Yes | 57c | 404.13$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.54 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…9f70backed Yes | 22c | 401$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.78 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +126.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3f…ae90backed Yes | 26c | 392.89$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…8e46backed Yes | 22c | 387$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +145.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 74c | 378.7$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.12 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…6630backed Yes | 56c | 359.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.35 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 44c | 355.96$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.77 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…44a9backed No | 78c | 333$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 75c | 332.15$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.75 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a5…d228backed No | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 11cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed No | 25c | 287.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.84 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 21c | 234.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…52cabacked No | 16c | 227.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +12.4wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +385.3%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8eed…0eacbacked Yes | 70c | 225.78$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ca…42a2backed No | 7c | 218.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82c…b07bbacked No | 22c | 218.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 14c | 217.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.95 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f31…b781backed Yes | 20c | 204.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…cfb7backed No | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +152.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…6677backed No | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +167.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…8360backed No | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 67c | 197.9$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.36 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2052…b249backed No | 13c | 195.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed No | 68c | 187.94$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.8 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcecd…c518backed Yes | 32c | 179.66$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.55 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 34c | 173.41$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…eb89backed No | 22c | 171.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 21c | 166$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbce…c781backed Yes | 73c | 164.09$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad6…cc62backed Yes | 26c | 150.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.53 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 21c | 150$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd02…fb6abacked Yes | 68c | 147.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.86 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…c462backed Yes | 26c | 143.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.86 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…13e7backed Yes | 18c | 141.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa602…7cc7backed Yes | 25c | 134.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.79 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…8954backed No | 73c | 126$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 18c | 122.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…a2f8backed No | 55c | 119.4$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.92 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x721b…42e7backed Yes | 17c | 114.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…b1debacked No | 22c | 109.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Yes | 64c | 107.71$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 56c | 104.65$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.03 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 35c | 103.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.48 | 121 | 33.1%40 W · 81 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…2020backed Yes | 17c | 101.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.37 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +14.6wins | +0.34per pick | 24cpaid | +200.9%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x738f…ba83backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.40per pick | 50cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 12c | 97.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 55 | 12.7%7 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb6…b74bbacked Yes | 32c | 96.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 22cpaid | +82%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7458…9943backed Yes | 24c | 95.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7154…6efcbacked No | 69c | 94.83$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 77c | 88.88$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.72 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6a…4055backed No | 18c | 86.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed No | 72c | 85.01$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 76c | 85$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf42…2448backed Yes | 37c | 82.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 25c | 81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed Yes | 31c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 42c | 68.49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9686…1701backed Yes | 36c | 67.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed No | 72c | 67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 72c | 60.18$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?this page
- Will TISZA win 42-46% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?No won
- Will TISZA win 46-50% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?No won
- Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?No won
- Will TISZA win <42% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.