Movies · resolved market
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x965c3e44558f5bd12cec91fe8ec5cc3d1f781eedb90a564a434e6f022929ddad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 50c | 1,354$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.64 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 48c | 1,264$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.62 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24a…fc69backed No | 53c | 1,141$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 48c | 977$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.73 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed Yes | 58c | 859$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.22 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a7…ae55backed Yes | 60c | 754.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9f9ebacked Yes | 45c | 715$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…e4a9backed No | 50c | 666.31$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.17 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf351…6284backed No | 42c | 660$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…a1ffbacked Yes | 46c | 628$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.88 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d7…8c45backed Yes | 47c | 597$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.59 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…0217backed No | 63c | 552$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 47c | 520.41$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.32 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd29f…26b4backed No | 54c | 509$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed No | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…56e8backed Yes | 37c | 494$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.78 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 52c | 471.88$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.3 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…4ab2backed Yes | 47c | 458$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.26 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b0c1backed No | 53c | 414.66$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.88 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 49c | 380$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.62 | 266 | 41.7%111 W · 155 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…6562backed No | 55c | 377$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.65 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…528bbacked Yes | 53c | 375$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d23…aa07backed No | 47c | 375$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 49c | 371.97$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.82 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked No | 55c | 338$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.1 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed No | 49c | 317.04$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.18 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…e0f2backed No | 45c | 281.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…4456backed Yes | 37c | 281$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +156.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…2372backed No | 42c | 261$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1697…4cf6backed Yes | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 48c | 226.8$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.33 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 50c | 226.62$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.98 | 133 | 21.1%28 W · 105 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 50c | 223.33$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.16 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed No | 52c | 197.31$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.28 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 58c | 197$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.74 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef37…f2bcbacked Yes | 45c | 190$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…cd55backed No | 55c | 190$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 52c | 189.84$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.05 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…4f63backed No | 42c | 188$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.04 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 48c | 131.6$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.28 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 48c | 129.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.25 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 44c | 121.48$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.51 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…d42ebacked No | 54c | 119$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcb…b296backed Yes | 53c | 111.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.7wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x465c…6e53backed Yes | 45c | 104$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…34e0backed No | 55c | 104$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17dc…aff8backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 47c | 101.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 52c | 100.62$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 53c | 100.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.14 | 69 | 17.4%12 W · 57 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 48c | 97.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed No | 57c | 95.75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Yes | 55c | 93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 54c | 86.51$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…49c9backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed Yes | 47c | 86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 47c | 84.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…2e51backed No | 45c | 82.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed No | 38c | 81.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 178 | 21.3%38 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 49c | 77.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98fe…bc9ebacked No | 57c | 64.04$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…b75cbacked Yes | 54c | 51.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…7922backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa95d…6a82backed Yes | 62c | 39.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba9e…7fbdbacked Yes | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 47c | 31.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -14.5wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -65%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 49c | 29.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7211…c65ebacked Yes | 53c | 28.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked No | 52c | 26.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…cf43backed No | 48c | 25.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…7e03backed Yes | 48c | 23.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…8b21backed No | 47c | 22.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 64c | 18.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…728abacked No | 63c | 17.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?this page
- Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No won
- Will Carey Mulligan win Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No won
- Will Emily Watson win Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No won
- Will Gwyneth Paltrow win Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No won
- Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No won
- Will Odessa A'zion win Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No won
- Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.