Movies · resolved market
Will "Golden - KPop Demon Hunters" win Best Original Song - Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x154c0b3e67b75f44fdacd244d181fe03e04a5301c016e37e97ddfdfbb6f2aa92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,152
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,152 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadc9…5856backed No | 17c | 1,403$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.82 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 16c | 1,298$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.35 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…ee5abacked No | 22c | 1,131$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.82 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed No | 18c | 1,122$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.96 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 79c | 1,066$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.79 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04e…d4aabacked No | 16c | 992.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425a…78cbbacked No | 18c | 754$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.72 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed No | 16c | 717$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.72 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…e98bbacked No | 18c | 694$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.92 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb28…74f4backed No | 16c | 675$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…7181backed No | 18c | 653$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.54 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…0acbbacked No | 18c | 640$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +123%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaffd…b072backed No | 18c | 623$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…c4c9backed No | 17c | 604$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.68 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff2d…caf4backed Yes | 78c | 569$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…a498backed No | 18c | 556$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -44%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x822a…23a0backed No | 25c | 514.69$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…f3dcbacked No | 16c | 488$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.08 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…857abacked No | 14c | 487$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.18 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -63%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…e68dbacked No | 18c | 472$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 20c | 471.16$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.36 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…f0b5backed No | 16c | 464$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed No | 18c | 447$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.46 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa906…84e4backed No | 18c | 438$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…ac22backed No | 14c | 432$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…bdf1backed No | 18c | 431$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.58 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf666…8842backed No | 18c | 423$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.14 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…c527backed No | 18c | 402$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.08 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…c4e8backed No | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…84e3backed No | 14c | 398$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…ec8dbacked No | 14c | 395$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff5d…4e58backed No | 18c | 378$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c07…956bbacked No | 18c | 375$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…6b99backed No | 18c | 375$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…4569backed No | 18c | 368$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafea…230bbacked Yes | 78c | 344$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.68 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0956…9aa4backed No | 18c | 337$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed No | 16c | 336$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked No | 14c | 315$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b4…c17abacked No | 18c | 308$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b7…d913backed No | 18c | 301$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa692…8ec9backed No | 18c | 296$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…3421backed No | 17c | 282$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd44…f151backed No | 18c | 271.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d17…1e5ebacked No | 18c | 271$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…3796backed No | 18c | 268$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea7…2550backed No | 17c | 262$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -56%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…bb9cbacked No | 18c | 258$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed No | 18c | 257$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…f59bbacked No | 18c | 243$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9818…7cd3backed No | 14c | 231$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…e4a9backed No | 18c | 227.58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…c93dbacked No | 18c | 223$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…fc69backed Yes | 78c | 218$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…1abbbacked No | 18c | 213$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 69c | 204.36$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed No | 11c | 201.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 11c | 201.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…3e46backed No | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…c285backed No | 18c | 187$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde61…b063backed No | 11c | 183.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 20c | 171.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…c6d4backed Yes | 78c | 162.19$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…abe1backed No | 17c | 155.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 16c | 149.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 18c | 142.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed No | 18c | 142$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 14c | 138.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked No | 24c | 125.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked No | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed No | 14c | 117$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x506a…1b43backed No | 18c | 112$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 19c | 110.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…83dcbacked No | 18c | 110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9498…d950backed No | 18c | 108$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e17…c6b5backed No | 17c | 106$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 14c | 105.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9151backed No | 18c | 104$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…89d8backed No | 18c | 104$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3b…916bbacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1d…a1e3backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 20c | 87.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…6622backed No | 18c | 82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 80c | 65.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…8b21backed Yes | 80c | 51.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…663bbacked Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 206 | 68.9%142 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…11ecbacked Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…5b93backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Golden - KPop Demon Hunters" win Best Original Song - Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?this page
- Will "Dream As One - Avatar: Fire and Ash" win Best Original Song - Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will "No Place Like Home - Wicked: For Good" win Best Original Song - Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will "The Girl in the Bubble - Wicked: For Good" win Best Original Song - Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.