Movies · resolved market
Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4cb66ab207ce92494b090798af892979aaec2e1a37f92724bcc0c7ec081b35c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1223…d424backed No | 6c | 3,725$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.89 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 5c | 1,226$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.58 | 55 | 5.5%3 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6388…f668backed No | 19c | 688$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb28…74f4backed No | 20c | 617$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…6487backed Yes | 79c | 567$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.07 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 6c | 557.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x787a…a54dbacked No | 21c | 503$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.63 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -5.3wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x48b2…ea4ebacked Yes | 79c | 446$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8153backed Yes | 80c | 445$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…200fbacked No | 21c | 358$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.18 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed Yes | 79c | 278$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.38 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca3…9546backed No | 21c | 278$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 10c | 207$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 266 | 41.7%111 W · 155 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb6…6d5fbacked No | 21c | 193$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked Yes | 74c | 175.6$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 21c | 157$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…f0b5backed No | 20c | 153$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…bdf1backed Yes | 80c | 153$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 78c | 107.29$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 198 | 36.4%72 W · 126 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…9767backed Yes | 80c | 106$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…69d2backed Yes | 79c | 72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20f…3fa4backed No | 16c | 66.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb26f…3487backed Yes | 79c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 20c | 59.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 211 | 9.5%20 W · 191 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a7a9backed Yes | 79c | 57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe62…6d76backed No | 21c | 49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…c9bcbacked No | 21c | 48.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…2923backed Yes | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6509…740bbacked Yes | 66c | 19.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)this page
- Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)No won
- Will "Priscilla" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.