Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Steve Toth be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69a2a60c4ed5afa228976a0b9e739b55773008ee9fd88c49bf45437e004c876b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba60…e910backed Yes | 33c | 9,532$3,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,347.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +206.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…f022backed Yes | 39c | 5,143$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,142.51 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +114%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…5516backed No | 61c | 3,716$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 66c | 3,026$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.83 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…7807backed Yes | 22c | 2,210$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +350.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 24c | 1,500$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.99 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb28…74f4backed Yes | 38c | 1,439$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea8…c8bdbacked No | 3c | 1,356$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e15…7ff5backed No | 62c | 1,105$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 29c | 1,099$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.08 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +18.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7883…172fbacked Yes | 21c | 930$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +398%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa347…2a40backed Yes | 19c | 889$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 57c | 800.76$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.39 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca3…9546backed Yes | 46c | 778$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +126%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 34c | 757.75$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.64 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…d1bebacked Yes | 51c | 692$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5544…802abacked Yes | 19c | 658$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be7…46eebacked No | 54c | 584$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 64c | 557.9$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.73 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 19c | 518$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 43c | 475.5$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.22 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a2…02c0backed Yes | 19c | 458$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 17c | 441.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.12 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc319…6baabacked No | 49c | 409$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 62c | 399.02$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 18c | 334$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.54 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…a152backed No | 49c | 333$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 66c | 297.67$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.69 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…56e8backed No | 62c | 287$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 40c | 267.14$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.02 | 166 | 32.5%54 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e23…ff24backed Yes | 38c | 264.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +164.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…914cbacked Yes | 36c | 264.58$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 12c | 249.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0285…59d6backed Yes | 19c | 245$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 42c | 234$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.81 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 52c | 233.48$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 76c | 206.81$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.54 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.49 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x340b…f8dcbacked No | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +416.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…1812backed No | 54c | 194$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +62%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…1b67backed No | 49c | 184$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 33c | 178.2$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.69 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 39c | 162.92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.86 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 36c | 161.68$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.22 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f76…1d92backed No | 54c | 157.87$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.72 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…7922backed Yes | 72c | 156.01$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 34c | 147.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.54 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes | 39c | 145.88$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.45 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…4230backed No | 73c | 137.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 67c | 133.87$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.54 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed Yes | 78c | 128$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 16c | 113.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 183 | 10.4%19 W · 164 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 67c | 112.95$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Yes | 57c | 111.89$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…f204backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +221.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81c9…4a47backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1a…4e1bbacked Yes | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…ed99backed Yes | 51c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…79c8backed No | 65c | 96.87$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.44 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 79c | 94.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.69 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed No | 67c | 88.55$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 70cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 27c | 70.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 497 | 11.5%57 W · 440 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ea…7a3dbacked Yes | 22c | 70.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.76 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…485cbacked No | 56c | 69.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 30c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 90 | 10%9 W · 81 L | -20.0wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4abc…52cabacked Yes | 35c | 56.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x254c…7678backed No | 57c | 48.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d0…1a0fbacked No | 66c | 47.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2950…ffeabacked No | 62c | 47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…916dbacked Yes | 54c | 44.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 76c | 38.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…cf43backed No | 79c | 31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked Yes | 54c | 29.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc79…f792backed No | 74c | 26.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 67c | 23.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 74c | 21.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37d2…7847backed No | 65c | 20.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x563a…f578backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 67c | 19.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 77c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53cf…0479backed No | 65c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 55c | 18.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 66c | 16.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Steve Toth be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?this page
- Will Daniel Crenshaw be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?No won
- Will Martin Etwop be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?No won
- Will Nicholas Plumb be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.