World Politics · resolved market
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19ade1f600ac7744f0926e12312823839fbb96d226ca58a1a34b0966c0400141
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,119 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bbd…9ec2backed Yes | 18c | 5,153$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,251.05 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…825abacked Yes | 11c | 4,000$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,543.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 18c | 3,250$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,672.24 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5e41…3745backed Yes | 62c | 3,165$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…b301backed No | 77c | 2,540$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 8c | 2,337$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,148.91 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea7…2550backed Yes | 13c | 2,312$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,011.44 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…ab96backed Yes | 16c | 2,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.98 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d9…fdd5backed Yes | 21c | 1,671$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.68 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 14c | 1,655$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.79 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 21c | 1,152$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.13 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 76c | 1,026$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.86 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…7b80backed Yes | 15c | 1,006$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.3 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…4ab1backed Yes | 21c | 914.17$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 13c | 901.33$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.07 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89b2…0eb2backed Yes | 23c | 885$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0d…c6bebacked Yes | 14c | 878.87$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.2 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…bb33backed Yes | 23c | 856$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 21c | 799.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.99 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a04…2310backed Yes | 23c | 799$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa309…516dbacked Yes | 7c | 745.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.53 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked Yes | 21c | 737.01$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.85 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 19c | 613.13$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.3 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 18c | 599.67$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.29 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…d74fbacked Yes | 20c | 502.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 79c | 499.99$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.99 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…800bbacked Yes | 20c | 406.36$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +154.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b0…3d89backed Yes | 25c | 403.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…90c3backed Yes | 16c | 388.75$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…ea38backed Yes | 47c | 350$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df5…c097backed Yes | 36c | 335.12$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb55…3eb2backed Yes | 15c | 324.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.1 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…ead7backed Yes | 22c | 319.76$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.76 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…04fabacked Yes | 8c | 299.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9f…7e5dbacked Yes | 20c | 274.93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +395.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4772…8bf4backed Yes | 19c | 259.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +159.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…e04abacked Yes | 57c | 254.69$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.27 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcda4…3b8dbacked Yes | 80c | 251.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4e…af9ebacked Yes | 14c | 240.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +616.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983f…fd5ebacked Yes | 15c | 238.49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.72 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +87%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 15c | 238$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.25 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 18c | 237.64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.17 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed No | 79c | 230.33$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.44 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf288…9719backed Yes | 26c | 221.77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Yes | 22c | 216.83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.18 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4165…da31backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +176.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…b571backed Yes | 23c | 205.77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…f66fbacked No | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.30per pick | 11cpaid | +459.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1e67…44bcbacked No | 19c | 200$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +8.4wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +647.1%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…6741backed Yes | 72c | 196.81$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.14 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…438cbacked Yes | 28c | 182.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.17 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +12.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 21c | 182.42$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.11 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59af…9e76backed Yes | 17c | 170.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 16c | 168.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.54 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…d682backed Yes | 59c | 168.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c91…be57backed Yes | 23c | 153.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +119.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf68…e9a7backed Yes | 15c | 151.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…52cabacked No | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +12.4wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +385.3%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…40c6backed Yes | 23c | 150$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +341.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…33fbbacked Yes | 16c | 139.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.9 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 65c | 138.12$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x305f…26e4backed Yes | 9c | 122.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +441.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes | 21c | 119.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.18 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86dd…1af2backed Yes | 23c | 118.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.71 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 12c | 118.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.2 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd664…cd4cbacked Yes | 16c | 115$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b05…712abacked Yes | 14c | 105$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 41cpaid | +331.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fc…f25fbacked Yes | 14c | 101.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a45…4eecbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…7c37backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +272.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe287…5a0fbacked No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +6.6wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +373.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x16cc…ec40backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x396c…56adbacked Yes | 16c | 99.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.91 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed Yes | 27c | 99.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +18.2wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1401…2bc2backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 20c | 86.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.25 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…c462backed Yes | 20c | 81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.08 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed Yes | 17c | 76.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.09 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 17c | 74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.48 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3424…6b9fbacked Yes | 23c | 72.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +216.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 80c | 70.82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb302…702dbacked Yes | 15c | 69.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 77c | 68.73$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 29c | 59.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82cd…9ccdbacked Yes | 19c | 59.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 29c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…b936backed Yes | 19c | 53.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…8ec6backed Yes | 23c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce2c…633abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 41cpaid | +232%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 26c | 44.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 41c | 31.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 42c | 29.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 49c | 22.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +6.5wins | +0.26per pick | 22cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 22.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 74c | 19.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?this page
- Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 10–15%?No won
- Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 15–20%?No won
- Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 20%+?No won
- Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by <5%?No won
- Will the Rachida Dati List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.