Movies · resolved market
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d869757567ac4154e219348c0aed54fd028b952f6ab7b907ee5663c24e94c4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 1c | 10,203$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.52 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…355ebacked Yes | 37c | 4,377$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.97 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…990fbacked Yes | 75c | 4,133$3,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,094.35 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 32c | 3,334$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.56 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…9b10backed Yes | 29c | 3,228$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.94 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2971…b901backed No | 49c | 2,786$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.86 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda73…4d41backed Yes | 69c | 2,083$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f11…ddc4backed No | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.2 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea7…2550backed Yes | 51c | 1,825$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.75 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -56%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 28c | 1,493$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.06 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1920…a04ebacked No | 80c | 1,207$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.45 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 47c | 1,009$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.33 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…146dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,002$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.57 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 49c | 931.54$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.82 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 18c | 898.77$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.88 | 170 | 17.1%29 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 63c | 777.73$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.92 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…4bffbacked Yes | 51c | 717$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 70c | 456.99$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.89 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 71c | 453.43$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.67 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 13c | 428.76$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 71c | 400$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed No | 51c | 392.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.15 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3c8bbacked Yes | 55c | 331.29$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.68 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 51c | 328.09$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.41 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…6741backed Yes | 51c | 322$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 52c | 309.63$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.27 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…4c29backed Yes | 62c | 294$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.31 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 63c | 283.56$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.88 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 32c | 251.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 138 | 20.3%28 W · 110 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 68c | 250$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…cd87backed Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9205…2aa7backed Yes | 34c | 226.73$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…35e5backed No | 49c | 218.8$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 20c | 206.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 268 | 6.3%17 W · 251 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…b60abacked Yes | 43c | 196.36$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.43 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 51c | 183.53$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.93 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 31c | 148$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Yes | 28c | 142.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 35c | 142.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Yes | 29c | 139$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 51c | 128$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.73 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 72c | 122.78$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3217…7f16backed Yes | 28c | 107.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 28c | 105.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 32c | 104.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 18c | 103.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 195 | 32.8%64 W · 131 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x743d…f77ebacked No | 43c | 89.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 57c | 84.62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…ad61backed No | 49c | 78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fb…72cdbacked No | 22c | 77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf82f…8137backed Yes | 25c | 75.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac0…071ebacked Yes | 25c | 70.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 34c | 68.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x269a…190ebacked Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe93f…6b7ebacked No | 40c | 58.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…5d1bbacked Yes | 21c | 57.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e5…2a2ebacked Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked Yes | 42c | 53.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad47…1d5abacked No | 66c | 53.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f96…a041backed No | 30c | 52.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd862…f135backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…67b1backed Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…47f4backed Yes | 28c | 49.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 67c | 48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…cefabacked Yes | 51c | 46.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x060a…fa8fbacked No | 24c | 42.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +169.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked Yes | 42c | 38.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -9.7wins | -0.27per pick | 46cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No | 39c | 36.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…f125backed Yes | 29c | 36.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 30c | 36.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3634…2fefbacked Yes | 74c | 35.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 41c | 30.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x740a…51c9backed Yes | 50c | 30.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 48c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 192 | 40.6%78 W · 114 L | -20.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 58c | 29.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd283…e332backed Yes | 38c | 29.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 61c | 29.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb2…376dbacked Yes | 75c | 28.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0928…9d34backed Yes | 42c | 26.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed Yes | 75c | 25.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fc…0637backed Yes | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 55c | 22.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb1…bce7backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7d…cd9abacked Yes | 73c | 19.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…01abbacked No | 60c | 18.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…5575backed Yes | 72c | 17.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…3af2backed Yes | 72c | 15.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…5728backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?this page
- Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?No won
- Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m?No won
- Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.