CS2 · resolved market
Vitality Dominates HLTV Awards Parlay
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cbadfe6d0e13b2da42b003fd517b19e8795c9745580c470ffa279024f4912a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Yes | 61c | 1,371$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.21 | 319 | 33.5%107 W · 212 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed No | 42c | 1,273$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.7 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…1d3fbacked No | 44c | 885$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked No | 33c | 831.15$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.28 | 236 | 46.2%109 W · 127 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…a5b8backed No | 44c | 784$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b4…c17abacked No | 44c | 765$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ba…c705backed No | 44c | 759$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed No | 30c | 750$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42b…7577backed No | 42c | 727$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12b…bb4fbacked No | 5c | 601.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4faa…fecfbacked Yes | 56c | 581$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Yes | 77c | 570.64$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.35 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…83a4backed Yes | 56c | 546$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7769…75bfbacked Yes | 67c | 546$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.18 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafea…230bbacked Yes | 56c | 515$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…1ff0backed Yes | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2e…fe02backed Yes | 56c | 471$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2abd…74ebbacked Yes | 58c | 375$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…9837backed No | 32c | 354.41$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.41 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed Yes | 58c | 303$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…ed9fbacked Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed No | 41c | 281.31$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 66c | 259.96$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.56 | 148 | 20.3%30 W · 118 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…bb33backed Yes | 56c | 259$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…be1dbacked Yes | 58c | 251$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e29…b98abacked Yes | 72c | 216.35$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…6d90backed Yes | 56c | 209$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 67c | 199.94$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 31c | 192$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.76 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…c3cfbacked Yes | 78c | 192$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed No | 44c | 181$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a70…3fc8backed No | 30c | 180.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.89 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked No | 44c | 177$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes | 58c | 171.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.14 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe972…4cfbbacked No | 30c | 168.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…758bbacked Yes | 67c | 162$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…1a9bbacked Yes | 70c | 153.18$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…6487backed Yes | 56c | 152$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 9c | 144.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2a…a661backed No | 22c | 129.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 15c | 112.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x635f…92f3backed No | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5884…3191backed Yes | 58c | 101$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e62…ca3cbacked No | 33c | 100.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bb…5048backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 19c | 98.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9116…a674backed No | 21c | 96.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0691…3fe4backed No | 32c | 96.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 39c | 89.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 70c | 89.94$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0991…ff3dbacked No | 29c | 86.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55e…a07abacked Yes | 59c | 85.92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…f5fbbacked Yes | 69c | 84.36$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…1df5backed No | 48c | 83.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…d949backed Yes | 63c | 79.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Yes | 79c | 78.48$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes | 69c | 73.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x642d…3de0backed No | 42c | 72.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5e…efa0backed No | 28c | 71.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c2…cde3backed No | 19c | 67.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 70c | 66.06$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Yes | 76c | 65.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c65…845dbacked Yes | 59c | 62.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e53…eaebbacked Yes | 68c | 60.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 30c | 56.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 46c | 53.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x214c…6378backed No | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae18…1132backed Yes | 56c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 41c | 45.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 43c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x265e…780abacked No | 27c | 42.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…f5c4backed Yes | 76c | 39.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed No | 42c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4f…b109backed Yes | 59c | 33.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…a3edbacked Yes | 67c | 33.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1b…c38fbacked Yes | 58c | 29.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.