TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Movies · resolved market

Will "His & Hers" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,911
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,458

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,911 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Movies
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No10c1,710$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.4433123.9%79 W · 252 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid-15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf66c…4ab1backed No1c1,304$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.14440%0 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No4c1,053$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.421,3948%111 W · 1,283 L-47.9wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2375…691fbacked No14c766.09$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8524634.6%85 W · 161 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No6c633.01$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.877135.2%25 W · 46 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed No11c605$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.865822.4%13 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No7c592.27$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.414316.3%7 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-55.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dc2…0933backed Yes76c520.35$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.881560%9 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb68f…6fd2backed No34c399.99$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1365837.9%22 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b34…ffc3backed No4c355.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137619.7%15 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb50…7bfcbacked No20c321.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6513337.6%50 W · 83 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c26…6e31backed No12c250.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6416741.9%70 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d66…fc54backed No12c231$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.722133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes78c224.99$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.948236.3%175 W · 307 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed No7c223.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.324055%22 W · 18 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+11.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7749…fad4backed Yes69c217.55$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No7c212.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2612938.8%50 W · 79 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No16c193.11$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.241,21817.8%217 W · 1,001 L-124.0wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-50.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No16c188.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9687033.3%290 W · 580 L-77.0wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-37.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes76c168$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0834651.2%177 W · 169 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cd1…9c20backed Yes64c155.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.067627.6%21 W · 55 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-43%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No11c131.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4548414%68 W · 416 L-39.3wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No10c117.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3220841.8%87 W · 121 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab07…7763backed No17c104$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.68742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1764…cf64backed Yes80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe45e…5ca7backed Yes79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7cf…eaffbacked Yes75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7fe…1e42backed No14c95.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.283658.3%21 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No21c74.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4267232%215 W · 457 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a0…2ab3backed Yes72c58.14$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.31475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+44.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd524…2accbacked Yes55c56$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe61d…e172backed Yes63c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.73246.9%15 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49f7…f566backed Yes79c26.8$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.555572.7%40 W · 15 L+10.8wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+47.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x401e…6fc9backed Yes69c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4717540%70 W · 105 L-0.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.