Movies · resolved market
Will "Skyscraper Live" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x438d312abcf75166ddbc13e32bea046784c80f75cf231c240c46bcc0c7adf841
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 12c | 3,734$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.35 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 17c | 1,174$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.74 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 1c | 1,045$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 331 | 23.9%79 W · 252 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf946…d542backed Yes | 14c | 991.71$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.3 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 14c | 469.79$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 6c | 260.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e2…c125backed Yes | 6c | 246.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 15c | 233$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x494c…e58abacked Yes | 13c | 216.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfc…5a29backed Yes | 12c | 185.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 6c | 166.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97cd…f164backed Yes | 29c | 162.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x952b…3f1dbacked No | 71c | 162.05$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a16…a169backed Yes | 12c | 160.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0b…3988backed Yes | 11c | 160.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 11c | 122.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 170 | 10%17 W · 153 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb711…f8c7backed Yes | 9c | 116.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59c2…de58backed Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d17…cd9cbacked Yes | 19c | 65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…0933backed No | 75c | 55.59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Skyscraper Live" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)this page
- Will "Finding Her Edge" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)No won
- Will "Free Bert" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)No won
- Will "His & Hers" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)Yes won
- Will "Star Search" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)No won
- Will "WWE: Unreal: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.